Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37019886›Full record

SynthesisTranslational psychiatry2023

The temporal dynamics of transition to psychosis in individuals at clinical high-risk (CHR-P) shows negative prognostic effects of baseline antipsychotic exposure: a meta-analysis.

Andrea Raballo, Michele Poletti, Antonio Preti

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Translational psychiatry, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Andrea RaballoChair of Psychiatry, Faculty of Biomedical Sciences, Università della Svizzera Italiana (USI), Lugano, Switzerland.
Michele PolettiDepartment of Mental Health and Pathological Addiction, Child and Adolescent Neuropsychiatry Service, Azienda USL-IRCCS di Reggio Emilia, Reggio Emilia, Italy. michele.poletti@ausl.re.it.ORCID 0000-0002-3306-8197
Antonio PretiDepartment of Neuroscience, University of Turin, Turin, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Meta-analytic evidence indicates that baseline exposure to antipsychotics (AP) in individuals at clinical high-risk for psychosis (CHR-P) is associated with an even higher risk of transition to psychosis. However, the temporal dynamics of such prognostic effect have not been clarified yet. This study was therefore designed to address this knowledge gap. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis of all longitudinal studies published up to 31 December 2021 on CHR-P individuals identified according to a validated diagnostic procedure and reporting numeric data of transition to psychosis according to baseline antipsychotic exposure. 28 studies covering a total of 2405 CHR-P were included. 554 (23.0%) were exposed to AP at baseline, whereas 1851 (77.0%) were not. At follow-up (12 to 72 months), 182 individuals among AP-exposed (32.9%; 95% CI: 29.4% to 37.8%) and 382 among AP-naive CHR-P (20.6%; 18.8% to 22.8%) developed psychosis. Transition rates increased over time, with the best-fit for an ascending curve peaking at 24 months and reaching then a plateau, with a further increase at 48 months. Baseline AP-exposed CHR-P had higher transition risk at 12 months and then again at 36 and 48 months, with an overall higher risk of transition (fixed-effect model: risk ratio = 1.56 [95% CI: 1.32-1.85]; z = 5.32; p < 0.0001; Random-effect model: risk ratio = 1.56 [95% CI: 1.07-2.26]; z = 2.54; p = 0.0196). In conclusion, the temporal dynamics of transition to psychosis differ in AP-exposed vs. AP-naive CHR-P. Baseline AP exposure in CHR-P is associated with a persistently higher risk of transition at follow up, supporting the rationale for more stringent clinical monitoring in AP-exposed CHR-P. The insufficiency of more granular information in available primary literature (e.g., temporal and quantitative details of AP exposure as well as psychopathological dimensions in CHR-P) did not allow the testing of causal hypotheses on this negative prognostic association.

Indexed as

Antipsychotic AgentsPsychotic DisordersHumansLongitudinal StudiesProdromal SymptomsPrognosisAntipsychotic Agents

Identifiers

PMID37019886
PMCPMC10076303

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.