Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37017078›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2023

Human Papillomavirus-Associated Anal Cancer Incidence and Burden Among US Men, According to Sexual Orientation, Human Immunodeficiency Virus Status, and Age.

Ashish A Deshmukh, Haluk Damgacioglu, Damien Georges, Kalyani Sonawane, Gary M Clifford

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Anal Human Papillomavirus Infection Progression to Disease Among Men Who Have Sex With Men.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Trial
  4. Trial
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. An overview of clinical trials in anal cancer 1999-2024.ESMO gastrointestinal oncology · 2026
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Evidence for Anal Dysplasia Treatment.Clinics in colon and rectal surgery · 2026
    Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ashish A DeshmukhDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Hollings Cancer Center, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.
Haluk DamgaciogluDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Hollings Cancer Center, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.
Damien GeorgesEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC/WHO), Lyon, France.
Kalyani SonawaneDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Hollings Cancer Center, Medical University of South Carolina, Charleston, South Carolina, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5501-3034
Gary M CliffordEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC/WHO), Lyon, France.

Funding

Optimizing Age-based Anal Cancer Screening Among People Living with HIV using Decision Analytic ModelingR01CA232888 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCI CTR HOUSTON · PI DESHMUKH, ASHISH A. · 2019 to 2022
$2.0M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA232888World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMen who have sex with men (MSM) without HIV are known to be at elevated relative risk for Human papillomavirus (HPV)-associated anal cancer in comparison to men who have sex with women (MSW), but are poorly characterized in terms of anal cancer incidence due to absence of reporting of sexual behavior/identity at a population-level.

methodsBy combining age-specific statistics from multiple data sources (anal cancer incidence among all males; anal cancer incidence among MSM and MSW with HIV; population size of men with HIV by sexual orientation), we developed a mathematical model to estimate anal cancer incidence, annual number of cases, and proportion by (a) sexual orientation (MSM versus MSW), (b) HIV status, and (c) age (<30, 30-44, 45-59, and ≥60 years).

resultsAnal cancer incidence (per 100 000) among MSM without HIV was 1.4 (95% uncertainty interval [UI], 0.6 to 2.3), 17.6 (95% UI = 13.8-23.5), and 33.9 (95% UI = 28.3-42.3), at ages 30-44, 45-59 and ≥60 years, respectively. 19.1% of all male anal cancer occurred in MSM without HIV, increasing from 4% of anal cancer diagnosed at 30-44 years to 24% at ≥60 years; 54.3% occurred in MSW without HIV (increasing from 13% at age 30-44 to 67% at >60 years), and the remaining 26.6% in men (MSM and MSW combined) with HIV (decreasing from 83% at age 30-44 to 9% at >60 years).

conclusionsThese findings should inform anal cancer prevention recommendations in male risk groups, including, for the first time, for the important group of MSM without HIV.

Indexed as

Anus DiseasesAnus NeoplasmsHIV InfectionsPapillomavirus InfectionsSexual and Gender MinoritiesAdultAnal CanalFemaleHIVHomosexuality, MaleHuman Papillomavirus VirusesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPapillomaviridaeanal cancerHIVincidencemen who have sex with mensquamous cell carcinoma of the anus

Identifiers

PMID37017078
PMCPMC10681657

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.