Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37016393›Full record

ArticleScandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine2023

External validation of the PROLOGUE score to predict neurological outcome in adult patients after cardiac arrest: a prospective cohort study.

René Blatter, Bulus Gökduman, Simon A Amacher, Christoph Becker, Katharina Beck, Sebastian Gross, Kai Tisljar, Raoul Sutter, Hans Pargger, Stephan Marsch and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scandinavian journal of trauma, resuscitation and emergency medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

René Blatter *Medical Communication and Psychosomatic Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Klingelbergstrasse 23, 4031, Basel, Switzerland.
Bulus Gökduman *Medical Communication and Psychosomatic Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Klingelbergstrasse 23, 4031, Basel, Switzerland.
Simon A Amacher *Medical Communication and Psychosomatic Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Klingelbergstrasse 23, 4031, Basel, Switzerland.
Christoph BeckerMedical Communication and Psychosomatic Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Klingelbergstrasse 23, 4031, Basel, Switzerland.
Katharina BeckMedical Communication and Psychosomatic Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Klingelbergstrasse 23, 4031, Basel, Switzerland.
Sebastian GrossMedical Communication and Psychosomatic Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Klingelbergstrasse 23, 4031, Basel, Switzerland.
Kai TisljarIntensive Care Unit, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Raoul SutterIntensive Care Unit, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Hans ParggerIntensive Care Unit, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Stephan MarschIntensive Care Unit, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Sabina HunzikerMedical Communication and Psychosomatic Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Klingelbergstrasse 23, 4031, Basel, Switzerland. sabina.hunziker@usb.ch.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6530-1240

Funding

Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung Ref 10001C_192850/1Swiss Society of General Internal Medicine 10531C_182422
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe PROLOGUE score (PROgnostication using LOGistic regression model for Unselected adult cardiac arrest patients in the Early stages) is a novel prognostic model for the prediction of neurological outcome after cardiac arrest, which showed exceptional performance in the internal validation. The aim of this study is to validate the PROLOGUE score in an independent cohort of unselected adult cardiac arrest patients and to compare it to the thoroughly validated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) and Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) scores.

methodsThis study included consecutive adult cardiac arrest patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of a Swiss tertiary teaching hospital between October 2012 and July 2022. The primary endpoint was poor neurological outcome at hospital discharge, defined as a Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) score of 3 to 5 including death.

resultsOf 687 patients included in the analysis, 321 (46.7%) survived to hospital discharge with good neurological outcome, 68 (9.9%) survived with poor neurological outcome and 298 (43.4%) died. The PROLOGUE score showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.83 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.86) and good calibration for the prediction of the primary outcome. The OHCA and CAHP score showed similar performance (AUROC 0.83 and 0.84 respectively), the differences between the three scores were not significant (p = 0.495). In a subgroup analysis, the PROLOGUE score performed equally in out-of-hospital and in-hospital cardiac arrest patients whereas the OHCA and CAHP score performed significantly better in OHCA patients.

conclusionThe PROLOGUE score showed good prognostic accuracy for the early prediction of neurological outcome in adult cardiac arrest survivors in our cohort and might support early goals-of-care discussions in the ICU. Trial registration Not applicable.

Indexed as

Cardiopulmonary ResuscitationOut-of-Hospital Cardiac ArrestAdultHumansIntensive Care UnitsPrognosisProspective StudiesCAHPCardiac arrestCardiopulmonary resuscitationNeurological prognosticationOHCAPrognostic modelPROLOGUE

Identifiers

PMID37016393
PMCPMC10074653

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.