Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37016152›Full record

ArticleNPJ digital medicine2023

Predicting patient decompensation from continuous physiologic monitoring in the emergency department.

Sameer Sundrani, Julie Chen, Boyang Tom Jin, Zahra Shakeri Hossein Abad, Pranav Rajpurkar, David Kim

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NPJ digital medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. [Research progress in artificial intelligence for the diagnosis and management of diseases in preterm infants].Zhongguo dang dai er ke za zhi = Chinese journal of contemporary pediatrics · 2026
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Review
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Observational
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Observational
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. In limbo: Physiological monitoring of emergency department boarders.The American journal of emergency medicine · 2025
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sameer SundraniSchool of Medicine, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1939-0462
Julie ChenDepartment of Computer Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7313-2501
Boyang Tom JinDepartment of Computer Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4810-5816
Zahra Shakeri Hossein AbadDalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Pranav RajpurkarDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8030-3727
David KimDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA. davidak@stanford.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0151-5121

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Anticipation of clinical decompensation is essential for effective emergency and critical care. In this study, we develop a multimodal machine learning approach to predict the onset of new vital sign abnormalities (tachycardia, hypotension, hypoxia) in ED patients with normal initial vital signs. Our method combines standard triage data (vital signs, demographics, chief complaint) with features derived from a brief period of continuous physiologic monitoring, extracted via both conventional signal processing and transformer-based deep learning on ECG and PPG waveforms. We study 19,847 adult ED visits, divided into training (75%), validation (12.5%), and a chronologically sequential held-out test set (12.5%). The best-performing models use a combination of engineered and transformer-derived features, predicting in a 90-minute window new tachycardia with AUROC of 0.836 (95% CI, 0.800-0.870), new hypotension with AUROC 0.802 (95% CI, 0.747-0.856), and new hypoxia with AUROC 0.713 (95% CI, 0.680-0.745), in all cases significantly outperforming models using only standard triage data. Salient features include vital sign trends, PPG perfusion index, and ECG waveforms. This approach could improve the triage of apparently stable patients and be applied continuously for the prediction of near-term clinical deterioration.

Identifiers

PMID37016152
PMCPMC10073111

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.