Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37013490›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2023

Connecting a disconnected trial network with a new trial: optimizing the estimation of a comparative effect in a network meta-analysis.

Lauren McKeen, Paul Morris, Chong Wang, Max D Morris, Annette M O'Connor

Open access · goldAbstract readNetwork Meta-Analysis
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 25% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Lauren McKeenDepartment of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, USA.
Paul MorrisDepartment of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, USA.
Chong WangDepartment of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, USA. chwang@iastate.edu.
Max D MorrisDepartment of Statistics, Iowa State University, Ames, USA.
Annette M O'ConnorDepartment of Veterinary Diagnostic and Production Animal Medicine, Iowa State University, Ames, USA.
Iowa State University · US

Funding

Evaluating duration of tylosin phosphate treatment in feedlot cattle for liver abscess prevention to ensure efficacy while addressing concerns about antimicrobial resistanceU01FD007049 · FDA · TEXAS A&M AGRILIFE RESEARCH · PI MORLEY, PAUL S. · 2020 to 2020
$500k
FDA HHS U01 FD007049
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn network meta-analysis, estimation of a comparative effect can be performed for treatments that are connected either directly or indirectly. However, disconnected trial networks may arise, which poses a challenge to comparing all available treatments of interest. Several modeling approaches attempt to compare treatments from disconnected networks but not without strong assumptions and limitations. Conducting a new trial to connect a disconnected network can enable calculation of all treatment comparisons and help researchers maximize the value of the existing networks. Here, we develop an approach to finding the best connecting trial given a specific comparison of interest.

methodsWe present formulas to quantify the variation in the estimation of a particular comparative effect of interest for any possible connecting two-arm trial. We propose a procedure to identify the optimal connecting trial that minimizes this variation in effect estimation.

resultsWe show that connecting two treatments indirectly might be preferred to direct connection through a new trial, by leveraging information from the existing disconnected networks. Using a real network of studies on the use of vaccines in the treatment of bovine respiratory disease (BRD), we illustrate a procedure to identify the best connecting trial and confirm our findings via simulation.

conclusionResearchers wishing to conduct a connecting two-arm study can use the procedure provided here to identify the best connecting trial. The choice of trial that minimizes the variance of a comparison of interest is network dependent and it is possible that connecting treatments indirectly may be preferred to direct connection.

Indexed as

Research DesignAnimalsCattleComputer SimulationHumansClinical trial designEvidence synthesisNetwork meta-analysis

Identifiers

PMID37013490
PMCPMC10069097
OpenAlexW4362523562

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.