Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37008700›Full record

ArticleInfectious Disease Modelling2023

Early estimation of the number of hidden HIV infected subjects: An extended Kalman filter approach.

Paolo Di Giamberardino, Daniela Iacoviello

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Infectious Disease Modelling, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Paolo Di GiamberardinoDept. of Computer, Control and Management Engineering, Sapienza, University of Rome, Via Ariosto 25, 00185, Rome, Italy.
Daniela IacovielloDept. of Computer, Control and Management Engineering, Sapienza, University of Rome, Via Ariosto 25, 00185, Rome, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the last decades several epidemic emergencies have been affecting the world, influencing the social relationships, the economics and the habits. In particular, starting in the early '80, the Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome, AIDS, is representing one of the most worrying sanitary emergency, that has caused up to now more than 25 million of dead patients. The infection is caused by the Human Immunodeficiency Virus, HIV, that may be transmitted by body fluids; therefore with wise behaviours the epidemic spread could rapidly be contained. This sanitary emergency is peculiar for the long incubation time: it can reach even 10 years, a long period in which the individual can unconsciously infect other subjects. The identification of the number of infected unaware people, mandatory to define suitable containment measures, is here obtained by using the extended Kalman filter applied to a noisy model in which, reasonably, only the number of infected diagnosed patients is available. Numerical simulations and real data analysis support the effectiveness of the approach.

Indexed as

Epidemic modelingExtended Kalman filterHIV-AIDSInfection spread

Identifiers

PMID37008700
PMCPMC10064229

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.