Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37007166›Full record

ArticleEvolution, medicine, and public health2023

Antigenic evolution of SARS-CoV-2 in immunocompromised hosts.

Cameron A Smith, Ben Ashby

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Evolution, medicine, and public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. The immune response to SARS-CoV-2 in people with HIV.Cellular & molecular immunology · 2024
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. COVID-19 andEvolution, medicine, and public health · 2023
    Article
  16. Immune Heterogeneity and Epistasis Explain Punctuated Evolution of SARS-CoV-2.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Cameron A SmithDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, Bath, BA2 7AY, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3212-3294
Ben AshbyDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, Bath, BA2 7AY, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5588-7081

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

OBJECTIVES/

aimsProlonged infections of immunocompromised individuals have been proposed as a crucial source of new variants of SARS-CoV-2 during the COVID-19 pandemic. In principle, sustained within-host antigenic evolution in immunocompromised hosts could allow novel immune escape variants to emerge more rapidly, but little is known about how and when immunocompromised hosts play a critical role in pathogen evolution. MATERIALS AND

methodsHere, we use a simple mathematical model to understand the effects of immunocompromised hosts on the emergence of immune escape variants in the presence and absence of epistasis.

conclusionsWe show that when the pathogen does not have to cross a fitness valley for immune escape to occur (no epistasis), immunocompromised individuals have no qualitative effect on antigenic evolution (although they may accelerate immune escape if within-host evolutionary dynamics are faster in immunocompromised individuals). But if a fitness valley exists between immune escape variants at the between-host level (epistasis), then persistent infections of immunocompromised individuals allow mutations to accumulate, therefore, facilitating rather than simply speeding up antigenic evolution. Our results suggest that better genomic surveillance of infected immunocompromised individuals and better global health equality, including improving access to vaccines and treatments for individuals who are immunocompromised (especially in lower- and middle-income countries), may be crucial to preventing the emergence of future immune escape variants of SARS-CoV-2.

Indexed as

antigenic evolutionCOVID-19epistasisimmunocompromisedSARS-CoV-2variant

Identifiers

PMID37007166
PMCPMC10061940

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.