Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37004719›Full record

ReviewPhilosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences2023

Mutation bias and the predictability of evolution.

Alejandro V Cano, Bryan L Gitschlag, Hana Rozhoňová, Arlin Stoltzfus, David M McCandlish, Joshua L Payne

Open access · hybridAbstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
10.0field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Emergence Biases in Molecular Evolution.Genome biology and evolution · 2026
    Review
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Evolution and evolvability of rifampicin resistance across the bacterial tree of life.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Assessing the predictability of fungicide resistance evolution through in vitro selection.Journal of plant diseases and protection : scientific journal of the German Phytomedical Society (DPG) · 2024
    Article
  14. Interdisciplinary approaches to predicting evolutionary biology.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Article
  15. Mutation bias and the predictability of evolution.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 3 countries.

Alejandro V CanoInstitute of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-4728-8489
Bryan L GitschlagSimons Center for Quantitative Biology, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, Cold Spring Harbor, NY 11724, USA.
Hana RozhoňováInstitute of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.
Arlin StoltzfusOffice of Data and Informatics, Material Measurement Laboratory, National Institute of Standards and Technology, Rockville, MD 20899, USA.
David M McCandlishSimons Center for Quantitative Biology, Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory, Cold Spring Harbor, NY 11724, USA.
Joshua L PayneInstitute of Integrative Biology, ETH Zurich, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-2978-8423
SIB Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics · CHCold Spring Harbor Laboratory · USUniversity of Maryland, Baltimore · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Predicting evolutionary outcomes is an important research goal in a diversity of contexts. The focus of evolutionary forecasting is usually on adaptive processes, and efforts to improve prediction typically focus on selection. However, adaptive processes often rely on new mutations, which can be strongly influenced by predictable biases in mutation. Here, we provide an overview of existing theory and evidence for such mutation-biased adaptation and consider the implications of these results for the problem of prediction, in regard to topics such as the evolution of infectious diseases, resistance to biochemical agents, as well as cancer and other kinds of somatic evolution. We argue that empirical knowledge of mutational biases is likely to improve in the near future, and that this knowledge is readily applicable to the challenges of short-term prediction. This article is part of the theme issue 'Interdisciplinary approaches to predicting evolutionary biology'.

Indexed as

Adaptation, PhysiologicalBiological EvolutionAcclimatizationBiasEvolution, MolecularMutationadaptationmutationpopulation geneticspredictiontheory

Identifiers

PMID37004719
PMCPMC10067271
OpenAlexW4362510805

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.