Predicting Visual Field Worsening with Longitudinal OCT Data Using a Gated Transformer Network.

purposeTo identify visual field (VF) worsening from longitudinal OCT data using a gated transformer network (GTN) and to examine how GTN performance varies for different definitions of VF worsening and different stages of glaucoma severity at baseline.

designRetrospective longitudinal cohort study.

participantsA total of 4211 eyes (2666 patients) followed up at the Johns Hopkins Wilmer Eye Institute with at least 5 reliable VF results and 1 reliable OCT scan within 1 year of each reliable VF test.

methodsFor each eye, we used 3 trend-based methods (mean deviation [MD] slope, VF index slope, and pointwise linear regression) and 3 event-based methods (Guided Progression Analysis, Collaborative Initial Glaucoma Treatment Study scoring system, and Advanced Glaucoma Intervention Study [AGIS] scoring system) to define VF worsening. Additionally, we developed a "majority of 6" algorithm (M6) that classifies an eye as worsening if 4 or more of the 6 aforementioned methods classified the eye as worsening. Using these 7 reference standards for VF worsening, we trained 7 GTNs that accept a series of at least 5 as input OCT scans and provide as output a probability of VF worsening. Gated transformer network performance was compared with non-deep learning models with the same serial OCT input from previous studies-linear mixed-effects models (MEMs) and naive Bayes classifiers (NBCs)-using the same training sets and reference standards as for the GTN.

main outcome measuresArea under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

resultsThe M6 labeled 63 eyes (1.50%) as worsening. The GTN achieved an AUC of 0.97 (95% confidence interval, 0.88-1.00) when trained with M6. Gated transformer networks trained and optimized with the other 6 reference standards showed an AUC ranging from 0.78 (MD slope) to 0.89 (AGIS). The 7 GTNs outperformed all 7 MEMs and all 7 NBCs accordingly. Gated transformer network performance was worse for eyes with more severe glaucoma at baseline.

conclusionsGated transformer network models trained with OCT data may be used to identify VF worsening. After further validation, implementing such models in clinical practice may allow us to track functional worsening of glaucoma with less onerous structural testing. FINANCIAL DISCLOSURE(S): Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found after the references.