Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36999227›Full record

ArticleRenal failure2023

Development and validation of a prediction model for the early occurrence of acute kidney injury in patients with acute pancreatitis.

Simin Wu, Qin Zhou, Yang Cai, Xiangjie Duan

Abstract read
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Article in Renal failure, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Simin WuDepartment of Respiratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Yangtze University, Jingzhou, P.R. China.ORCID 0000-0001-9941-9327
Qin ZhouDepartment of Intensive care Medicine, The First People's Hospital of Changde, Changde, P.R. China.
Yang CaiDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Changde, Changde, P.R. China.
Xiangjie DuanDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First People's Hospital of Changde, Changde, P.R. China.ORCID 0000-0001-8396-7935

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAcute pancreatitis (AP) is associated with a high incidence of acute kidney injury (AKI). This study aimed to develop a nomogram for predicting the early onset of AKI in AP patients admitted to the intensive care unit.

methodClinical data for 799 patients diagnosed with AP were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database. Eligible AP patients were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. The independent prognostic factors for the early development of AKI in AP patients were determined using the all-subsets regression method and multivariate logistic regression. A nomogram was constructed for predicting the early occurrence of AKI in AP patients. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curves and decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsSeven independent prognostic factors were identified as predictive factors for early onset AKI in AP patients. The AUC of the nomogram in the training and validation cohorts were 0.795 (95% CI, 0.758-0.832) and 0.772 (95% CI, 0.711-0.832), respectively. The AUC of the nomogram was higher compared with that of the BISAP, Ranson, APACHE II scores. Further, the calibration curve revealed that the predicted outcome was in agreement with the actual observations. Finally, the DCA curves showed that the nomogram had a good clinical applicability value.

conclusionThe constructed nomogram showed a good predictive ability for the early occurrence of AKI in AP patients.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryPancreatitisDatabases, FactualHumansModels, StatisticalRetrospective Studiesacute kidney injuryAcute pancreatitisMIMICnomogramrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID36999227
PMCPMC10071964

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.