Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36997900›Full record

ArticleBMC geriatrics2023

Atrial fibrillation incidence and outcomes in two cohorts of octogenarians: LiLACS NZ.

Ruth Teh, Ngaire Kerse, Avinesh Pillai, Thomas Lumley, Anna Rolleston, Tin Aung Kyaw, Martin Connolly, Joanna Broad, Elaine Monteiro, Valerie Wright-St Clair and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC geriatrics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.7field-weighted citation impact, top 29% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Value of Left Atrial Strain and Strain Rate for Prediction of Early Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation Following Isolated Off-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting in Low-Risk Patients.Annals of noninvasive electrocardiology : the official journal of the International Society for Holter and Noninvasive Electrocardiology, Inc · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Ruth TehDepartment of General Practice and Primary Health Care, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, PO Box 92019, Auckland, New Zealand. r.teh@auckland.ac.nz.
Ngaire KerseDepartment of General Practice and Primary Health Care, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, PO Box 92019, Auckland, New Zealand.
Avinesh PillaiDepartment of Statistics, Faculty of Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Thomas LumleyDepartment of Statistics, Faculty of Science, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Anna RollestonManawa Ora, The Centre for Health, Tauranga, New Zealand.
Tin Aung KyawDepartment of General Practice and Primary Health Care, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, PO Box 92019, Auckland, New Zealand.
Martin ConnollyDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Joanna BroadDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Elaine MonteiroDepartment of General Practice and Primary Health Care, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, PO Box 92019, Auckland, New Zealand.
Valerie Wright-St ClairCentre for Active Ageing, Auckland University of Technology New Zealand, Auckland, New Zealand.
Robert N DoughtyDepartment of Medicine, University of Auckland and Greenlane Cardiovascular Service, Auckland District Health Board, Auckland, New Zealand.
University of Auckland · NZAuckland University of Technology · NZThe Centre for Health (New Zealand) · NZ

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAtrial fibrillation (AF), the most common cardiac arrhythmia in the general population, has significant healthcare burden. Little is known about AF in octogenarians.

objectiveTo describe the prevalence and incidence rate of AF in New Zealand (NZ) octogenarians and the risk of stroke and mortality at 5-year follow-up.

designLongitudinal Cohort Study.

settingBay of Plenty and Lakes health regions of New Zealand. SUBJECTS: Eight-hundred-seventy-seven (379 indigenous Māori, 498 non-Māori) were included in the analysis.

methodsAF, stroke/TIA events and relevant co-variates were established annually using self-report and hospital records (and ECG for AF). Cox proportional-hazards regression models were used to determine the time dependent AF risk of stroke/TIA.

resultsAF was present in 21% at baseline (Māori 26%, non-Māori 18%), the prevalence doubled over 5-years (Māori 50%, non-Māori 33%). 5-year AF incidence was 82.6 /1000-person years and at all times AF incidence for Māori was twice that of non-Māori. Five-year stroke/TIA prevalence was 23% (22% in Māori and 24% non- Māori), higher in those with AF than without. AF was not independently associated with 5-year new stroke/TIA; baseline systolic blood pressure was. Mortality was higher for Māori, men, those with AF and CHF and statin use was protective. In summary, AF is more prevalent in indigenous octogenarians and should have an increased focus in health care management. Further research could examine treatment in more detail to facilitate ethnic specific impact and risks and benefits of treating AF in octogenarians.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesHumansIncidenceIschemic Attack, TransientLongitudinal StudiesMaleNew ZealandPrevalenceStrokeAtrial FibrillationIndigenous PeoplesOctogenarians

Identifiers

PMID36997900
PMCPMC10064671
OpenAlexW4362506040

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.