Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36991514›Full record

ArticleJournal of orthopaedic surgery and research2023

Rates of discontinuation and non-publication of upper and lower extremity fracture clinical trials.

Samuel Shepard, J Michael Anderson, Benjamin Heigle, Jay C Thompson, Byron Detweiler, Micah Hartwell, Matt Vassar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Time to publication for results of clinical trials.The Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. A Comprehensive Bibliometric Analysis of Biomedical Research Waste: Current Situation, Development, and Trends.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Samuel ShepardOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, 1111 W 17Th St, Tulsa, OK, 74107, USA. Samuel.shepard@okstate.edu.
J Michael AndersonDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Oklahoma State University Medical Center, 744 West 9Th St, Tulsa, OK, USA.
Benjamin HeigleOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, 1111 W 17Th St, Tulsa, OK, 74107, USA.
Jay C ThompsonDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Oklahoma State University Medical Center, 744 West 9Th St, Tulsa, OK, USA.
Byron DetweilerDepartment of Orthopedic Surgery, Oklahoma State University Medical Center, 744 West 9Th St, Tulsa, OK, USA.
Micah HartwellOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, 1111 W 17Th St, Tulsa, OK, 74107, USA.
Matt VassarOklahoma State University Center for Health Sciences, 1111 W 17Th St, Tulsa, OK, 74107, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeTo our knowledge, no study has quantified the rate of discontinuation and nonpublication of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) regarding upper and lower extremity fractures.

methodsWe searched ClinicalTrials.gov on September 9th, 2020, for phase 3 and 4 RCTs pertaining to upper and lower extremity fractures. Trial completion status was determined using records available on ClinicalTrials.gov. Publication status was determined using records on ClinicalTrials.gov and by searching PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, and Google Scholar. We queried corresponding authors on trial status if a peer-reviewed publication was not identified.

resultsOur final analysis included 142 RCTs, of which 57 (40.1%) were discontinued and 71 (50%) were unpublished. Thirty-six (of 57, 63.2%) discontinued trials failed to provide a reason for discontinuation, the most commonly identified reason for discontinuation was due to inadequate recruitment (13/21, 61.9%). Completed trials were more likely to reach publication (59/85; 69.4%; X

conclusionOur analysis of 142 upper and lower extremity fracture RCTs demonstrated one-half failed to reach publication and two-fifths were discontinued prior to trial completion. These findings indicate the need for increased guidance in developing, completing, and publishing RCTs in upper and lower extremity fractures. Discontinuation and nonpublication of orthopaedic RCTs hinder the public's access to collected data and negate the valued contribution from study participants. Discontinuation and non-publication of clinical trials may subject participants to potentially harmful interventions, limit the advancement of clinical research, and contribute to research waste. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III.

Indexed as

Lower ExtremityData CollectionHumansPatient SelectionClinical trialsDiscontinuationFractureLower extremityNon-publicationUpper extremity

Identifiers

PMID36991514
PMCPMC10053675

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.