ArticlePLOS global public health2023
Neonatal blood lead concentration predicts medium term lead-related outcomes in children ≤5 years old with congenital lead poisoning: A retrospective cohort study in Northern Nigeria.
Article in PLOS global public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 2 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 2 citations in OpenAlex.
- Environmental Burden of Lead and Public Health Issues in Nigeria: A Systematic Review of Emerging Evidence.Biological trace element research · 2026Pooled it
- Correction: Neonatal blood lead concentration predicts medium term lead-related outcomes in children ≤5 years old with congenital lead poisoning: A retrospective cohort study in Northern Nigeria.PLOS global public health · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
- Erratum issued
Authors and funding
7 authors at 5 institutions in 4 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Mother-to-child-transmission of lead via the placenta is known to result in congenital lead toxicity. Between 2010 and 2021, Médecins Sans Frontières and other stakeholders responded to a severe lead poisoning outbreak related to artisanal gold mining in Northern Nigeria. Extensive environmental remediation occurred following outbreak identification; source control efforts are ongoing within the community. We aimed to describe the prevalence of congenital lead poisoning in this cohort and analyse the association between neonatal blood lead concentration (BLC) and medium-term lead-related outcomes during the study period. Children enrolled in the lead poisoning programme between July 2010 and 25 January 2018 who had a screening BLC at ≤4 weeks of age were included. For time-to-event analysis, medium-term outcomes were classified as lead-related (death from lead encephalopathy, and/or met chelation threshold) and non-lead-related (non-lead-related death, on programme no chelation, exit from programme without chelation). Cox regression analysis and ROC analysis were performed. 1468 children were included. All-cause mortality 2.3%; geometric mean neonatal BLC 13.7 μg/dL; 'lead-related death or treatment' 19.3%. For every doubling in neonatal BLC, there was an almost 8-fold increase in adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for the composite lead-related outcome (p<0.001). A neonatal BLC ≥ 15.0 μg/dL had 95% sensitivity for identifying children who went on to have the composite outcome (with specificity 67%; positive likelihood ratio 2.86). Congenital lead poisoning predicts ongoing exposure in this population, even after environmental remediation. This suggests a complex, early, multidisciplinary approach to source control and exposure management is required when elevated neonatal BLC is observed in lead poisoning clusters in low-and-middle-income contexts.
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Registered trials
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