Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36989160›Full record

ArticleDrug and alcohol review2023

Micro-temporal analyses of crime related to alcohol outlets: A comparison of outcomes over weekday, weekend, daytime and nighttime hours.

Paul J Gruenewald, Natalie Sumetsky, Christina Mair, Juliet P Lee, William R Ponicki

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Drug and alcohol review, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Paul J GruenewaldPrevention Research Center, Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Berkeley, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0474-9524
Natalie SumetskyDepartment of Behavioral and Community Health Sciences, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, USA.
Christina MairDepartment of Behavioral and Community Health Sciences, University of Pittsburgh School of Public Health, Pittsburgh, USA.
Juliet P LeePrevention Research Center, Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Berkeley, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2330-3736
William R PonickiPrevention Research Center, Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Berkeley, USA.

Funding

Transitions and Alcohol Use in the Later Lifespan: Environmental and Individual-level InfluencesP60AA006282 · NIAAA · PACIFIC INSTITUTE FOR RES AND EVALUATION · PI MALLIE J PASCHALL · 2003 to 2026
$41.2M
WORK AND DRINKINGP50AA006282 · NIAAA · PREVENTION RESEARCH CENTER · PI HOLDER, HAROLD D · 1985 to 2002
$4.6M
Impacts of Off-Premise Alcohol Outlets on Local Neighborhood Alcohol ProblemsR01AA023085 · NIAAA · PACIFIC INSTITUTE FOR RES AND EVALUATION · PI LEE, JULIET P · 2015 to 2018
$1.5M
Explaining Local Impacts of Off-Premise Alcohol Outlets on ProblemsR01AA024759 · NIAAA · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI MAIR, CHRISTINA FURBER · 2016 to 2019
$1.3M
NIAAA NIH HHS P50 AA006282NIAAA NIH HHS P60 AA006282NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA023085NIAAA NIH HHS R01 AA024759
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionCausal relationships between alcohol outlets and crime are inferred from their statistical associations across neighbourhoods. However, many unobserved covariates may confound these effects. Recognising that outlet sales vary by time of day and day of week, we assess whether areas with more bars/pubs, restaurants or off-premise outlets have more crime during days and times when alcohol sales are greatest.

methodsAnnual administrative crime counts, sociodemographic data and other area characteristics of 336 Census block groups in Oakland, California, USA, were related to outlet densities from 2000 to 2015. Bayesian space-time Poisson models were used to measure associations between outlet densities and crime during: (i) weekday daytime; (ii) weekday nighttime; (iii) weekend daytime; and (iv) weekend nighttime periods (four seemingly unrelated equations). Comparisons of parameter estimates across equations provided an assessment of outlet effects on crime across days and times within the same analysis units using the same constellation of confounding covariates.

resultsAssault and driving under the influence crime incidents during weekend evening hours were more frequent in Census block group areas with greater numbers of bar/pubs. Burglaries were consistently greater in areas with greater densities of restaurants. DISCUSSION AND

conclusionsThe spatiotemporal signature relating densities of bars/pubs over weekend evening hours to assault and driving under the influence incidents suggests that these outlets are a critical source of these crimes across neighbourhoods. Prevention programs and policies that focus upon specific drinking establishments, days and times may be most effective in reducing assault and impaired driving incidents in neighbourhoods.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingAlcoholic BeveragesBayes TheoremCommerceCrimeHumansResidence Characteristicsalcoholic beveragealcohol outletcrimepolicy

Identifiers

PMID36989160
PMCPMC10273326

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.