ArticleHealthcare (Basel, Switzerland)2023
A Clinical Prediction Model for Breast Cancer in Women Having Their First Mammogram.
Article in Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Risk prediction models for oral squamous cell carcinoma and oral potentially malignant disorders in Asian populations: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in oral health · 2026Article
- Temporal trend of breast cancer burden among younger and older Brazilian women, 1990-2019.Revista brasileira de epidemiologia = Brazilian journal of epidemiology · 2025Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundDigital mammography is the most efficient screening and diagnostic modality for breast cancer (BC). However, the technology is not widely available in rural areas. This study aimed to construct a prediction model for BC in women scheduled for their first mammography at a breast center to prioritize patients on waiting lists.
methodsThis retrospective cohort study analyzed breast clinic data from January 2013 to December 2017. Clinical parameters that were significantly associated with a BC diagnosis were used to construct predictive models using stepwise multiple logistic regression. The models' discriminative capabilities were compared using receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs).
resultsData from 822 women were selected for analysis using an inverse probability weighting method. Significant risk factors were age, body mass index (BMI), family history of BC, and indicated symptoms (mass and/or nipple discharge). When these factors were used to construct a model, the model performance according to the Akaike criterion was 1387.9, and the AUC was 0.82 (95% confidence interval: 0.76-0.87).
conclusionIn a resource-limited setting, the priority for a first mammogram should be patients with mass and/or nipple discharge, asymptomatic patients who are older or have high BMI, and women with a family history of BC.
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