Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36978244›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2023

Changes in survival in de novo metastatic cancer in an era of new medicines.

Marianne Luyendijk, Otto Visser, Hedwig M Blommestein, Ignace H J T de Hingh, Frank J P Hoebers, Agnes Jager, Gabe S Sonke, Elisabeth G E de Vries, Carin A Uyl-de Groot, Sabine Siesling

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
11.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 46 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. [Surgical management of spinal metastases].Orthopadie (Heidelberg, Germany) · 2026
    Review
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  15. Observational
  16. Time toxicity among older patients with cancer treated with palliative systemic therapy.Supportive care in cancer : official journal of the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer · 2024
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Illness trajectories of incurable solid cancers.BMJ (Clinical research ed.) · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Marianne LuyendijkDepartment of Research and Development, Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organization (IKNL), Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-9552-2877
Otto VisserDepartment of Registration, Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organization (IKNL), Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Hedwig M BlommesteinErasmus School of Health Policy & Management, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-5846-0531
Ignace H J T de HinghDepartment of Surgery, Catharina Hospital, Eindhoven, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-3491-4268
Frank J P HoebersDepartment of Radiation Oncology (MAASTRO), Research Institute GROW, Maastricht University, Maastricht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-4317-9181
Agnes JagerDepartment of Medical Oncology, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-7713-1450
Gabe S SonkeDepartment of Medical Oncology, The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-8088-9628
Elisabeth G E de VriesDepartment of Medical Oncology, University Medical Centre Groningen, University of Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-8949-7425
Carin A Uyl-de GrootErasmus School of Health Policy & Management, Erasmus University, Rotterdam, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0001-6492-5203
Sabine SieslingDepartment of Research and Development, Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organization (IKNL), Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-0273-824X
Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organisation · NLErasmus University Rotterdam · NLErasmus MC Cancer Institute · NLMaastricht University · NLRadboud University Nijmegen · NLThe Netherlands Cancer Institute · NLUniversity Medical Center Groningen · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOver the past decades, the therapeutic landscape has markedly changed for patients with metastatic solid cancer, yet few studies have evaluated its effect on population-based survival. The objective of this study was to evaluate the change in survival of patients with de novo metastatic solid cancers during the last 30 years.

methodsFor this retrospective study, data from almost 2 million patients diagnosed with a solid cancer between January 1, 1989, and December 31, 2018, were obtained from the Netherlands Cancer Registry, with follow-up until January 31, 2021. We classified patients as with or without de novo metastatic disease (M1 or M0, respectively) at diagnosis and determined the proportion with M1 disease over time. Changes in age-standardized net survival were calculated as the difference in the 1- and 5-year survival rates of patients diagnosed in 1989-1993 and 2014-2018.

resultsDifferent cancers showed divergent trends in the proportion of M1 disease and increases in net survival for M1 disease (approximately 0-50 percentage points at both 1 and 5 years). Patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors saw the largest increases in 5-year survival, but we also observed substantial 5-year survival increases for patients with neuroendocrine tumors, melanoma, prostate cancer, and breast cancer.

conclusionOver 30 years, the survival of patients with de novo M1 disease modestly and unevenly increased among cancers. Metastatic cancer still remains a very lethal disease. Next to better treatment options, we call for better preventive measures and early detection to reduce the incidence of metastatic disease.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsNeoplasms, Second PrimaryNeuroendocrine TumorsProstatic NeoplasmsHumansMaleRetrospective StudiesSurvival Rate

Identifiers

PMID36978244
PMCPMC10248844
OpenAlexW4361303354

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.