Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36971353›Full record

ArticleeLife2023

Polygenic risk scores for the prediction of common cancers in East Asians: A population-based prospective cohort study.

Peh Joo Ho, Iain BeeHuat Tan, Dawn Qingqing Chong, Chiea Chuen Khor, Jian-Min Yuan, Woon-Puay Koh, Rajkumar Dorajoo, Jingmei Li

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in eLife, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 16 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Peh Joo HoGenome Institute of Singapore (GIS), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR), Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0002-3017-4023
Iain BeeHuat TanGenome Institute of Singapore (GIS), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR), Singapore, Singapore.
Dawn Qingqing ChongDivision of Medical Oncology, National Cancer Centre Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Chiea Chuen KhorGenome Institute of Singapore (GIS), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR), Singapore, Singapore.
Jian-Min YuanUPMC Hillman Cancer Center, Pittsburgh, United States.
Woon-Puay KohHealthy Longevity Translational Research Programme; Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore.
Rajkumar DorajooGenome Institute of Singapore (GIS), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR), Singapore, Singapore.
Jingmei LiGenome Institute of Singapore (GIS), Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR), Singapore, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0001-8587-7511
Agency for Science, Technology and Research · SGDuke-NUS Medical School · SGUniversity of Pittsburgh · US

Funding

Prospective studies of cancer etiology and prevention in Shanghai and SingaporeR01CA144034 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 2010 to 2014
$7.0M
THE SINGAPORE COHORT STUDY OF DIET AND CANCERR01CA080205 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 1999 to 2009
$5.3M
Cancer epidemiology cohorts in Shanghai and Singapore UM1CA182876 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF PITTSBURGH AT PITTSBURGH · PI YUAN, JIAN-MIN · 2014 to 2018
$4.3M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA080205NCI NIH HHS R01 CA144034NCI NIH HHS UM1 CA182876
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: To evaluate the utility of polygenic risk scores (PRSs) in identifying high-risk individuals, different publicly available PRSs for breast (n=85), prostate (n=37), colorectal (n=22), and lung cancers (n=11) were examined in a prospective study of 21,694 Chinese adults. Methods: We constructed PRS using weights curated in the online PGS Catalog. PRS performance was evaluated by distribution, discrimination, predictive ability, and calibration. Hazard ratios (HR) and corresponding confidence intervals (CI) of the common cancers after 20 years of follow-up were estimated using Cox proportional hazard models for different levels of PRS. Results: A total of 495 breast, 308 prostate, 332 female-colorectal, 409 male-colorectal, 181 female-lung, and 381 male-lung incident cancers were identified. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve for the best-performing site-specific PRS were 0.61 (PGS000873, breast), 0.70 (PGS00662, prostate), 0.65 (PGS000055, female-colorectal), 0.60 (PGS000734, male-colorectal), 0.56 (PGS000721, female-lung), and 0.58 (PGS000070, male-lung), respectively. Compared to the middle quintile, individuals in the highest cancer-specific PRS quintile were 64% more likely to develop cancers of the breast, prostate, and colorectal. For lung cancer, the lowest cancer-specific PRS quintile was associated with 28-34% decreased risk compared to the middle quintile. In contrast, the HR observed for quintiles 4 (female-lung: 0.95 [0.61-1.47]; male-lung: 1.14 [0.82-1.57]) and 5 (female-lung: 0.95 [0.61-1.47]) were not significantly different from that for the middle quintile. Conclusions: Site-specific PRSs can stratify the risk of developing breast, prostate, and colorectal cancers in this East Asian population. Appropriate correction factors may be required to improve calibration. Funding: This work is supported by the National Research Foundation Singapore (NRF-NRFF2017-02), PRECISION Health Research, Singapore (PRECISE) and the Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR). WP Koh was supported by National Medical Research Council, Singapore (NMRC/CSA/0055/2013). CC Khor was supported by National Research Foundation Singapore (NRF-NRFI2018-01). Rajkumar Dorajoo received a grant from the Agency for Science, Technology and Research Career Development Award (A*STAR CDA - 202D8090), and from Ministry of Health Healthy Longevity Catalyst Award (HLCA20Jan-0022).The Singapore Chinese Health Study was supported by grants from the National Medical Research Council, Singapore (NMRC/CIRG/1456/2016) and the U.S. National Institutes of Health (NIH) (R01 CA144034 and UM1 CA182876).

Indexed as

Colorectal NeoplasmsLung NeoplasmsAdultEast Asian PeopleFemaleGenetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMaleMultifactorial InheritanceProspective StudiesRisk FactorsAsiancalibrationcohort studyepidemiologygeneticsgenomicsglobal healthnonepolygenic risk scorepopulation-based cancer screening

Identifiers

PMID36971353
PMCPMC10159619
OpenAlexW4361004072

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.