Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36966734›Full record

Trial reportEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2023

Cost-effectiveness of early rhythm control vs. usual care in atrial fibrillation care: an analysis based on data from the EAST-AFNET 4 trial.

Sophie Gottschalk, Shinwan Kany, Hans-Helmut König, Harry Jgm Crijns, Panos Vardas, A John Camm, Karl Wegscheider, Andreas Metzner, Andreas Rillig, Paulus Kirchhof and 1 more

Abstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Public procurement of cardiac implantable electronic devices across Europe: are we purchasing value or cost-effectiveness?Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  3. Transforming atrial fibrillation management by targeting comorbidities and reducing atrial fibrillation burden: the 10th AFNET/EHRA consensus conference.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2025
    Article
  4. Brazilian Atrial Fibrillation Guidelines - 2025.Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Atrial fibrillation rhythm management: a matter of timing.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  8. Antiarrhythmic drugs in the era of atrial fibrillation ablation.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  9. Economic analyses in cardiac electrophysiology: from clinical efficacy to cost utility.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Atrial fibrillation and stroke prevention: 25 years of research at EP Europace journal.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Review
  12. Cost-effectiveness of an antibacterial envelope for infection prevention in patients undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy reoperations in Denmark.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  13. Early rhythm control for atrial fibrillation: looking cost-effective, at least from one direction.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Sophie GottschalkDepartment of Health Economics and Health Services Research, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg Center for Health Economics, Martinistraße 52 Building W37, 20246 Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6912-6256
Shinwan KanyDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistraße 52, Hamburg 20246, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-8113-733X
Hans-Helmut KönigDepartment of Health Economics and Health Services Research, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg Center for Health Economics, Martinistraße 52 Building W37, 20246 Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5711-6862
Harry Jgm CrijnsMaastricht University Medical Center and Cardiovascular Research Institute Maastricht (CARIM), Universiteitssingel 50, 6200 MD, Maastricht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1073-5337
Panos VardasEuropean Society of Cardiology Health Policy Unit, European Heart Health Institute, European Heart Agency, 29 square de Meeus, B-1000 Brussels, BELGIUM.ORCID 0000-0002-4499-0806
A John CammMolecular & Clinical Sciences Research Institute, St George's University of London, Cranmer Terrace, London SW17 0RE, UK.
Karl WegscheiderInstitute of Medical Biometry and Epidemiology, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Christoph-Probst-Weg 1, 20246 Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-2974-3142
Andreas MetznerDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistraße 52, Hamburg 20246, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6818-6396
Andreas RilligDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistraße 52, Hamburg 20246, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-3457-0936
Paulus KirchhofDepartment of Cardiology, University Heart and Vascular Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Martinistraße 52, Hamburg 20246, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-1881-0197
Judith DamsDepartment of Health Economics and Health Services Research, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg Center for Health Economics, Martinistraße 52 Building W37, 20246 Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-6922-434X

Funding

British Heart Foundation AA/18/2/34218British Heart Foundation FS/13/43/30324British Heart Foundation PG/17/30/32961
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThe randomized, controlled EAST-AFNET 4 trial showed that early rhythm control (ERC) reduces the rate of a composite primary outcome (cardiovascular death, stroke, or hospitalization for worsening heart failure or acute coronary syndrome) by ∼20%. The current study examined the cost-effectiveness of ERC compared to usual care. METHODS AND

resultsThis within-trial cost-effectiveness analysis was based on data from the German subsample of the EAST-AFNET 4 trial (n = 1664/2789 patients). Over a 6-year time horizon and from a healthcare payer's perspective, ERC was compared to usual care regarding costs (hospitalization and medication) and effects (time to primary outcome; years survived). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) were calculated. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves were constructed to visualize uncertainty. Early rhythm control was associated with higher costs [+€1924, 95% CI (-€399, €4246)], resulting in ICERs of €10 638 per additional year without a primary outcome and €22 536 per life year gained. The probability of ERC being cost-effective compared to usual care was ≥95% or ≥80% at a willingness-to-pay value of ≥€55 000 per additional year without a primary outcome or life year gained, respectively.

conclusionFrom a German healthcare payer's perspective, health benefits of ERC may come at reasonable costs as indicated by the ICER point estimates. Taking statistical uncertainty into account, cost-effectiveness of ERC is highly probable at a willingness-to-pay value of ≥€55 000 per additional life year or year without a primary outcome. Future studies examining the cost-effectiveness of ERC in other countries, subgroups with higher benefit from rhythm control therapy, or cost-effectiveness of different modes of ERC are warranted.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationHeart FailureStrokeCost-Benefit AnalysisCost-Effectiveness AnalysisHumansQuality-Adjusted Life YearsAtrial fibrillationCost-effectivenessEarly rhythm control

Identifiers

PMID36966734
PMCPMC10227663

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.