Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36964445›Full record

ArticlePediatric research2023

Risk-prediction models for intravenous immunoglobulin resistance in Kawasaki disease: Risk-of-Bias Assessment using PROBAST.

Shuhui Wang, Hongbiao Huang, Miao Hou, Qiuqin Xu, Weiguo Qian, Yunjia Tang, Xuan Li, Guanghui Qian, Jin Ma, Yiming Zheng and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pediatric research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. An Update on Kawasaki Disease.Current rheumatology reports · 2024
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Shuhui Wang *Department of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Hongbiao Huang *Department of Pediatrics, Institute of Pediatric Research, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Miao HouDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Qiuqin XuDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Weiguo QianDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Yunjia TangDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Xuan LiDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Guanghui QianDepartment of Pediatrics, Institute of Pediatric Research, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Jin MaDepartment of Pharmacy, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Yiming ZhengDepartment of Pediatrics, Institute of Pediatric Research, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China.
Yueping ShenDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Medical College of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215123, China. shenyueping@suda.edu.cn.
Haitao LvDepartment of Cardiology, Children's Hospital of Soochow University, Suzhou, Jiangsu, 215003, China. haitaosz@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe prediction model of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in Kawasaki disease can calculate the probability of IVIG resistance and provide a basis for clinical decision-making. We aim to assess the quality of these models developed in the children with Kawasaki disease.

methodsStudies of prediction models for IVIG-resistant Kawasaki disease were identified through searches in the PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase databases. Two investigators independently performed literature screening, data extraction, quality evaluation, and discrepancies were settled by a statistician. The checklist for critical appraisal and data extraction for systematic reviews of prediction modeling studies (CHARMS) was used for data extraction, and the prediction models were evaluated using the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST).

resultsSeventeen studies meeting the selection criteria were included in the qualitative analysis. The top three predictors were neutrophil measurements (peripheral neutrophil count and neutrophil %), serum albumin level, and C-reactive protein (CRP) level. The reported area under the curve (AUC) values for the developed models ranged from 0.672 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.631-0.712) to 0.891 (95% CI: 0.837-0.945); The studies showed a high risk of bias (ROB) for modeling techniques, yielding a high overall ROB.

conclusionIVIG resistance models for Kawasaki disease showed high ROB. An emphasis on improving their quality can provide high-quality evidence for clinical practice. IMPACT STATEMENT: This study systematically evaluated the risk of bias (ROB) of existing prediction models for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in Kawasaki disease to provide guidance for future model development meeting clinical expectations. This is the first study to systematically evaluate the ROB of IVIG resistance in Kawasaki disease by using PROBAST. ROB may reduce model performance in different populations. Future prediction models should account for this problem, and PROBAST can help improve the methodological quality and applicability of prediction model development.

Indexed as

Immunoglobulins, IntravenousMucocutaneous Lymph Node SyndromeChildHumansLeukocyte CountRisk AssessmentSystematic Reviews as TopicImmunoglobulins, Intravenous

Identifiers

PMID36964445
PMCPMC10444619

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.