Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36963048›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2023

Prognostic accuracy of biomarkers of immune and endothelial activation in Mozambican children hospitalized with pneumonia.

Núria Balanza, Clara Erice, Michelle Ngai, Chloe R McDonald, Andrea M Weckman, Julie Wright, Melissa Richard-Greenblatt, Rosauro Varo, Elisa López-Varela, Antonio Sitoe and 8 more

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Article in PLOS global public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors.

Núria BalanzaISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3581-0383
Clara EriceSandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Michelle NgaiSandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Chloe R McDonaldSandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Andrea M WeckmanSandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Julie WrightSandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Melissa Richard-GreenblattDepartment of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, United States of America.
Rosauro VaroISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Elisa López-VarelaISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6725-5687
Antonio SitoeCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Pio VitorinoCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Justina BramugyCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Miguel LanaspaISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Sozinho AcácioCentro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça, Maputo, Mozambique.
Lola MadridISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Bàrbara BaroISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Kevin C KainSandra-Rotman Centre for Global Health, Toronto General Research Institute, University Health Network-Toronto General Hospital, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Quique BassatISGlobal, Hospital Clínic, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0875-7596

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Pneumonia is a leading cause of child mortality. However, currently we lack simple, objective, and accurate risk-stratification tools for pediatric pneumonia. Here we test the hypothesis that measuring biomarkers of immune and endothelial activation in children with pneumonia may facilitate the identification of those at risk of death. We recruited children <10 years old fulfilling WHO criteria for pneumonia and admitted to the Manhiça District Hospital (Mozambique) from 2010 to 2014. We measured plasma levels of IL-6, IL-8, Angpt-2, sTREM-1, sFlt-1, sTNFR1, PCT, and CRP at admission, and assessed their prognostic accuracy for in-hospital, 28-day, and 90-day mortality. Healthy community controls, within same age strata and location, were also assessed. All biomarkers were significantly elevated in 472 pneumonia cases versus 80 controls (p<0.001). IL-8, sFlt-1, and sTREM-1 were associated with in-hospital mortality (p<0.001) and showed the best discrimination with AUROCs of 0.877 (95% CI: 0.782 to 0.972), 0.832 (95% CI: 0.729 to 0.935) and 0.822 (95% CI: 0.735 to 0.908), respectively. Their performance was superior to CRP, PCT, oxygen saturation, and clinical severity scores. IL-8, sFlt-1, and sTREM-1 remained good predictors of 28-day and 90-day mortality. These findings suggest that measuring IL-8, sFlt-1, or sTREM-1 at hospital presentation can guide risk-stratification of children with pneumonia, which could enable prioritized care to improve survival and resource allocation.

Identifiers

PMID36963048
PMCPMC10021812

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.