Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36962268›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2022

Stability and change in fertility intentions in response to the COVID-19 pandemic in Kenya.

Linnea A Zimmerman, Celia Karp, Mary Thiongo, Peter Gichangi, Georges Guiella, Alison Gemmill, Caroline Moreau, Suzanne O Bell

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In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Childbearing attitudes amid successive novel infectious disease epidemics: a mixed-method experimental approach.Social forces; a scientific medium of social study and interpretation · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Linnea A ZimmermanDepartment of Population Family and Reproductive Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0118-0889
Celia KarpDepartment of Population Family and Reproductive Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4050-7602
Mary ThiongoInternational Centre for Reproductive Health Kenya (ICRH-K), Mombasa, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0598-995X
Peter GichangiInternational Centre for Reproductive Health Kenya (ICRH-K), Mombasa, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9636-165X
Georges GuiellaInstitut Supérieur des Sciences de la Population (ISSP/University of Ouagadougou), Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso.
Alison GemmillDepartment of Population Family and Reproductive Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5879-9730
Caroline MoreauDepartment of Population Family and Reproductive Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8637-6249
Suzanne O BellDepartment of Population Family and Reproductive Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7650-5940

Funding

Gates Foundation INV-009466
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fertility intentions are expected to decline due to the COVID-19 pandemic but limited empirical research on this topic has been conducted in sub-Saharan Africa. Longitudinal data from Kenya, with baseline (November 2019) and follow-up (June 2020) data, were used to 1) assess the extent to which individual-level fertility intentions changed, and 2) examine how security, specifically economic and health security, affected fertility intentions. The final sample included 3,095 women. The primary outcomes were change in quantum and timing. Exploratory analyses described overall changes within the sample and logistic regression models assessed sociodemographic and COVID-19 related correlates of change, specifically income loss at the household level, food insecurity, and ability to socially distance. Approximately 85% of women reported consistent fertility intentions related to both the number and timing of childbearing. No COVID-19-related factors were related to changing quantum intentions. Women who reported chronic food insecurity had 4.78 times the odds of accelerating their desired timing to next birth compared to those who reported no food insecurity (95% CI: 1.53-14.93), with a significant interaction by wealth. The COVID-19 pandemic did not lead to widespread changes in fertility intentions in Kenya, though the most vulnerable women may have accelerated their childbearing intentions.

Identifiers

PMID36962268
PMCPMC10021581

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.