Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36962143›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2022

Predict the incidence of Guillain Barré Syndrome and arbovirus infection in Mexico, 2014-2019.

Lumumba Arriaga-Nieto, Porfirio Felipe Hernández-Bautista, Alfonso Vallejos-Parás, Concepción Grajales-Muñiz, Teresita Rojas-Mendoza, David Alejandro Cabrera-Gaytán, Israel Grijalva-Otero, Bernardo Cacho-Díaz, Leticia Jaimes-Betancourt, Rosario Padilla-Velazquez and 4 more

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Observational
  4. Oropouche virus - another antecedent event for Guillain-Barré syndrome?Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health · 2025
    Article
  5. [Dengue, rabies and measles in the post-COVID-19 pandemic era].Revista medica del Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social · 2024
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Lumumba Arriaga-NietoEpidemiologic Surveillance Coordination, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
Porfirio Felipe Hernández-BautistaCoordination of Supplies Quality Control, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7190-2883
Alfonso Vallejos-ParásEpidemiologic Surveillance Coordination, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0972-8295
Concepción Grajales-MuñizCoordination of Supplies Quality Control, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
Teresita Rojas-MendozaCoordination of Supplies Quality Control, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
David Alejandro Cabrera-GaytánHealth Research Coordination, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5314-4786
Israel Grijalva-OteroMedical Research Unit for Neurological Diseases, UMAE Hospital de Especialidades, Centro Médico Nacional Siglo XXI, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1860-7594
Bernardo Cacho-DíazNeuroscience Unit. National Cancer Institute, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9289-5312
Leticia Jaimes-BetancourtEpidemiology Department, Family Medicine Unit 7, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2524-0572
Rosario Padilla-VelazquezEpidemiologic Surveillance Coordination, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
Gabriel Valle-AlvaradoEpidemiologic Surveillance Coordination, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.
Yadira Perez-AndradeEpidemiologic Surveillance Coordination, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8358-347X
Oscar David Ovalle-LunaEpidemiologic Surveillance Coordination, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1395-3559
Mónica Rivera-MaheyEpidemiologic Surveillance Coordination, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5972-5706
Mexican Social Security Institute · MXInstituto Nacional de Cancerología · MX

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The Dengue (DENV), Zika (ZIKV), and Chikungunya (CHIKV) virus infections have been linked to Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS). GBS has an estimated lethality of 4% to 8%, even with effective treatment. Mexico is considered a hyperendemic country for DENV due to the circulation of four serotypes, and the ZIKV and CHIKV viruses have also been circulating in the country. The objective of this study was to predict the number of GBS cases in relation to the cumulative incidence of ZIKV / DENV / CHIKV in Mexico from 2014 to 2019. A six-year time series ecological study was carried out from GBS cases registered in the Acute Flaccid Paralysis (AFP) Epidemiological Surveillance System (ESS), and DENV, ZIKV and CHIKV estimated cases from cases registered in the epidemiological vector-borne diseases surveillance system. The results shows that the incidence of GBS in Mexico is positively correlated with DENV and ZIKV. For every 1,000 estimated DENV cases, 1.45 GBS cases occurred on average, and for every 1,000 estimated ZIKV cases, 1.93 GBS cases occurred on average. A negative correlation between GBS and CHIKV estimated cases was found. The increase in the incidence of GBS cases in Mexico can be predicted by observing DENV and ZIKV cases through the epidemiological surveillance systems. These results can be useful in public health by providing the opportunity to improve capacities for the prevention of arbovirus diseases and for the timely procurement of supplies for the treatment of GBS.

Identifiers

PMID36962143
PMCPMC10022261
OpenAlexW4229031567

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read23
identifiers read4
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.