Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36962116›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2021

The global burden of tuberculous meningitis in adults: A modelling study.

Peter J Dodd, Muhammad Osman, Fiona V Cresswell, Anna M Stadelman, Nguyen Huu Lan, Nguyen Thuy Thuong Thuong, Morris Muzyamba, Lisa Glaser, Sicelo S Dlamini, James A Seddon

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 70 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
70citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
12.3field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

70 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 106 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. High dose of rifampicin in the treatment of tuberculous meningitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  4. A clinical practice guideline for tuberculous meningitis.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2026
    Guideline
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Pooled it
  8. Pharmacokinetics of Dexamethasone in Tuberculous Meningitis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Trial
  9. Trial
  10. Trial
  11. Trial
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Intrathecal Isoniazid and Dexamethasone Therapy May Improve Outcomes in Patients With Tuberculous Meningitis: A 2-Center Retrospective Cohort Study.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
    Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article

10 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Peter J DoddSchool of Health and Related Research, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5825-9347
Muhammad OsmanDesmond Tutu TB Centre, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3818-9729
Fiona V CresswellLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5070-532X
Anna M StadelmanSchool of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, United States of America.
Nguyen Huu LanPham Ngoc Thach Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Nguyen Thuy Thuong ThuongOxford University Clinical Research Unit, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8733-692X
Morris MuzyambaTuberculosis Section, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8442-4481
Lisa GlaserTuberculosis Section, National Infection Service, Public Health England, London, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8715-9799
Sicelo S DlaminiResearch Information Monitoring, Evaluation, and Surveillance, National Tuberculosis Control and Management Cluster, National Department of Health, Pretoria, South Africa.
James A SeddonDesmond Tutu TB Centre, Department of Paediatrics and Child Health, Stellenbosch University, Stellenbosch, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2296-2302
Public Health England · GBStellenbosch University · ZALondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBNational Health Laboratory Service · ZAUniversity of Minnesota · USUniversity of Oxford · GBUniversity of Sheffield · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/P022081/1Medical Research Council MR/R007942/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Tuberculous meningitis (TBM) is the most lethal form of tuberculosis. The incidence and mortality of TBM is unknown due to diagnostic challenges and limited disaggregated reporting of treated TBM by existing surveillance systems. We aimed to estimate the incidence and mortality of TBM in adults (15+ years) globally. Using national surveillance data from Brazil, South Africa, the United Kingdom, the United States of America, and Vietnam, we estimated the fraction of reported tuberculosis that is TBM, and the case fatality ratios for treated TBM in each of these countries. We adjusted these estimates according to findings from a systematic review and meta-analysis and applied them to World Health Organization tuberculosis notifications and estimates to model the global TBM incidence and mortality. Assuming the case detection ratio (CDR) for TBM was the same as all TB, we estimated that in 2019, 164,000 (95% UI; 129,000-199,000) adults developed TBM globally; 23% were among people living with HIV. Almost 60% of incident TBM occurred in males and 20% were in adults 25-34 years old. 70% of global TBM incidence occurred in Southeast Asia and Africa. We estimated that 78,200 (95% UI; 52,300-104,000) adults died of TBM in 2019, representing 48% of incident TBM. TBM case fatality in those treated was on average 27%. Sensitivity analysis assuming improved detection of TBM compared to other forms of TB (CDR odds ratio of 2) reduced estimated global mortality to 54,900 (95% UI; 32,200-77,700); assuming instead worse detection for TBM (CDR odds ratio of 0.5) increased estimated mortality to 125,000 (95% UI; 88,800-161,000). Our results highlight the need for improved routine TBM monitoring, especially in high burden countries. Reducing TBM incidence and mortality will be necessary to achieve the End TB Strategy targets.

Identifiers

PMID36962116
PMCPMC10021871
OpenAlexW4200120549

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read195
identifiers read9
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.