Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36962093›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2021

The indirect impact of COVID-19 pandemic on inpatient admissions in 204 Kenyan hospitals: An interrupted time series analysis.

Steven Wambua, Lucas Malla, George Mbevi, Amen-Patrick Nwosu, Timothy Tuti, Chris Paton, Samuel Cheburet, Ayub Manya, Mike English, Emelda A Okiro

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
2.4field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Rethinking the evidence on COVID-19 in Africa.The Lancet. Infectious diseases · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Steven WambuaPopulation Health Unit, Kenya Medical Research Institute-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2300-7670
Lucas MallaHealth Services Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.
George MbeviHealth Services Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1533-9800
Amen-Patrick NwosuOxford Centre for Global Health Research, Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6991-7798
Timothy TutiHealth Services Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7915-3004
Chris PatonOxford Centre for Global Health Research, Nuffield Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6952-9621
Samuel CheburetMinistry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.
Ayub ManyaMinistry of Health, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5026-2074
Mike EnglishHealth Services Unit, KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7427-0826
Emelda A OkiroPopulation Health Unit, Kenya Medical Research Institute-Wellcome Trust Research Programme, Nairobi, Kenya.
Kenya Medical Research Institute · KEMinistry of Health · KEUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

Wellcome Trust 207522/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The first case of severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) was identified in March 2020 in Kenya resulting in the implementation of public health measures (PHM) to prevent large-scale epidemics. We aimed to quantify the impact of COVID-19 confinement measures on access to inpatient services using data from 204 Kenyan hospitals. Data on monthly admissions and deliveries from the District Health Information Software version 2 (DHIS 2) were extracted for the period January 2018 to March 2021 stratified by hospital ownership (public or private) and adjusting for missing data using multiple imputation (MI). We used the COVID-19 event as a natural experiment to examine the impact of COVID-19 and associated PHM on use of health services by hospital ownership. We estimated the impact of COVID-19 using two approaches; Statistical process control (SPC) charts to visualize and detect changes and Interrupted time series (ITS) analysis using negative-binomial segmented regression models to quantify the changes after March 2020. Sensitivity analysis was undertaken to test robustness of estimates using Generalised Estimating Equations (GEE) and impact of national health workers strike on observed trends. SPC charts showed reductions in most inpatient services starting April 2020. ITS modelling showed significant drops in April 2020 in monthly volumes of live-births (11%), over-fives admissions for medical (29%) and surgical care (25%) with the greatest declines in the under-five's admissions (59%) in public hospitals. Similar declines were apparent in private hospitals. Health worker strikes had a significant impact on post-COVID-19 trends for total deliveries, live-births and caesarean section rate in private hospitals. COVID-19 has disrupted utilization of inpatient services in Kenyan hospitals. This might have increased avoidable morbidity and mortality due to non-COVID-19-related illnesses. The declines have been sustained. Recent data suggests a reversal in trends with services appearing to be going back to pre- COVID levels.

Identifiers

PMID36962093
PMCPMC10021711
OpenAlexW3212180673

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read24
identifiers read5
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.