Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36962089›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2021

Vaccine rollout strategies: The case for vaccinating essential workers early.

Nicola Mulberry, Paul Tupper, Erin Kirwin, Christopher McCabe, Caroline Colijn

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 41 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
41citing papers in PubMed
5.1field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

41 citing papers in PubMed, 59 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Rollout designs for lump-sum data.Journal of applied statistics · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Healthcare costs and effects of post-COVID-19 condition in Canada.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2023
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Extensive SARS-CoV-2 testing reveals BA.1/BA.2 asymptomatic rates and underreporting in school children.Canada communicable disease report = Releve des maladies transmissibles au Canada · 2023
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Medical Residents' Behaviours toward Compulsory COVID-19 Vaccination in a Tertiary Hospital in Italy.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Vaccine Prioritization in Low- and Middle-Income Countries May Justifiably Depart From High-Income Countries' Age Priorities.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2022
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Nicola MulberryDepartment of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1465-8001
Paul TupperDepartment of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4340-4481
Erin KirwinInstitute of Health Economics, Alberta, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6957-7236
Christopher McCabeInstitute of Health Economics, Alberta, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5728-4129
Caroline ColijnDepartment of Mathematics, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6097-6708
Simon Fraser University · CAUniversity of Alberta · CAUniversity of Manchester · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In vaccination campaigns against COVID-19, many jurisdictions are using age-based rollout strategies, reflecting the much higher risk of severe outcomes of infection in older groups. In the wake of growing evidence that approved vaccines are effective at preventing not only adverse outcomes, but also infection, we show that such strategies are less effective than strategies that prioritize essential workers. This conclusion holds across numerous outcomes, including cases, hospitalizations, Long COVID (cases with symptoms lasting longer than 28 days), deaths and net monetary benefit. Our analysis holds in regions where the vaccine supply is limited, and rollout is prolonged for several months. In such a setting with a population of 5M, we estimate that vaccinating essential workers sooner prevents over 200,000 infections, over 600 deaths, and produces a net monetary benefit of over $500M.

Identifiers

PMID36962089
PMCPMC10021761
OpenAlexW3207607152

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read16
identifiers read5
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.