ArticlePatterns (New York, N.Y.)2023
Deep learning-based risk prediction for interventional clinical trials based on protocol design: A retrospective study.
Article in Patterns (New York, N.Y.), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
5 citing papers in PubMed.
- Article
- A scoping review of artificial intelligence applications in clinical trial risk assessment.NPJ digital medicine · 2025Article
- Analysis of eligibility criteria clusters based on large language models for clinical trial design.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2025Article
- Mathematically Improved XGBoost Algorithm for Truck Hoisting Detection in Container Unloading.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Investigating machine learning and natural language processing techniques applied for detecting eating disorders: a systematic literature review.Frontiers in psychiatry · 2024Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Success rate of clinical trials (CTs) is low, with the protocol design itself being considered a major risk factor. We aimed to investigate the use of deep learning methods to predict the risk of CTs based on their protocols. Considering protocol changes and their final status, a retrospective risk assignment method was proposed to label CTs according to low, medium, and high risk levels. Then, transformer and graph neural networks were designed and combined in an ensemble model to learn to infer the ternary risk categories. The ensemble model achieved robust performance (area under the receiving operator characteristic curve [AUROC] of 0.8453 [95% confidence interval: 0.8409-0.8495]), similar to the individual architectures but significantly outperforming a baseline based on bag-of-words features (0.7548 [0.7493-0.7603] AUROC). We demonstrate the potential of deep learning in predicting the risk of CTs from their protocols, paving the way for customized risk mitigation strategies during protocol design.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.