Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36959459›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Prediction of cardiovascular disease risk based on major contributing features.

Mengxiao Peng, Fan Hou, Zhixiang Cheng, Tongtong Shen, Kaixian Liu, Cai Zhao, Wen Zheng

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
11.7field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Machine learning used to study risk factors for chronic diseases: A scoping review.Canadian journal of public health = Revue canadienne de sante publique · 2026
    Article
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. OptiStack classifier: optimized stacking framework with ensemble feature engineering for enhanced cardiovascular risk prediction.Inflammation research : official journal of the European Histamine Research Society ... [et al.] · 2025
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Mengxiao PengInstitute of Public-Safety and Big Data, College of Data Science, Taiyuan University of Technology, University Street, Yuci District, Jinzhong, 030600, China.
Fan HouInstitute of Public-Safety and Big Data, College of Data Science, Taiyuan University of Technology, University Street, Yuci District, Jinzhong, 030600, China.
Zhixiang ChengInstitute of Public-Safety and Big Data, College of Data Science, Taiyuan University of Technology, University Street, Yuci District, Jinzhong, 030600, China.
Tongtong ShenInstitute of Public-Safety and Big Data, College of Data Science, Taiyuan University of Technology, University Street, Yuci District, Jinzhong, 030600, China.
Kaixian LiuInstitute of Public-Safety and Big Data, College of Data Science, Taiyuan University of Technology, University Street, Yuci District, Jinzhong, 030600, China.
Cai ZhaoInstitute of Public-Safety and Big Data, College of Data Science, Taiyuan University of Technology, University Street, Yuci District, Jinzhong, 030600, China. zhaocai@tyut.edu.cn.
Wen ZhengInstitute of Public-Safety and Big Data, College of Data Science, Taiyuan University of Technology, University Street, Yuci District, Jinzhong, 030600, China. zhengwen@tyut.edu.cn.
Taiyuan University of Technology · CNChangzhi Medical College · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a serious health threat to human society worldwide. The use of machine learning methods to predict the risk of CVD is of great relevance to identify high-risk patients and take timely interventions. In this study, we propose the XGBH machine learning model, which is a CVD risk prediction model based on key contributing features. In this paper, the generalisation of the model was enhanced by adding retrospective data of 14,832 Chinese Shanxi CVD patients to the kaggle dataset. The XGBH risk prediction model proposed in this paper was validated to be highly accurate (AUC = 0.81) compared to the baseline risk score (AUC = 0.65), and the accuracy of the model for CVD risk prediction was improved with the inclusion of the conventional biometric BMI variable. To increase the clinical application of the model, a simpler diagnostic model was designed in this paper, which requires only three characteristics from the patient (age, value of systolic blood pressure and whether cholesterol is normal or not) to enable early intervention in the treatment of high-risk patients with a slight reduction in accuracy (AUC = 0.79). Ultimately, a CVD risk score model with few features and high accuracy will be established based on the main contributing features. Of course, further prospective studies, as well as studies with other populations, are needed to assess the actual clinical effectiveness of the XGBH risk prediction model.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesBody Mass IndexFemaleHumansMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedProbabilityRetrospective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID36959459
PMCPMC10036320
OpenAlexW4360612605

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
reference markers read1
measurements read13
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.