ArticleScientific reports2023
Climate warming and increasing Vibrio vulnificus infections in North America.
Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 60 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
60 citing papers in PubMed, 113 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Impact of environmental factors and climate conditions on the occurrence of Vibrio and Shewanella infections in Norway, 2014-2018.BMC public health · 2026Article
- Pandemic Vibrio cholerae and the Environmental Reservoir Hypothesis-Outstanding Questions Central to Global Cholera Control.Environmental microbiology · 2026Article
- Predictive intelligence for future vibriosis risk in the eastern United States employing Bayesian spatial modeling.Applied and environmental microbiology · 2026Article
- Quantifying Vibrio Infection Risks From Beach Recreation Along U.S. Eastern Seaboard in Year 2100.GeoHealth · 2026Article
- Article
- Silent Threat Evolution: Critically Important Carbapenem and Colistin Resistance Genes in the Natural Aquatic Environment.Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Review
- Rising Vibrio vulnificus infections in Northern Europe linked to environmental reservoirs sustaining clinical pathogenicity.FEMS microbiology letters · 2026Article
- Society for Healthcare Epidemiology of America supports environmental stewardship and sustainability while protecting patients and healthcare personnel position statement of the SHEA Board.Antimicrobial stewardship & healthcare epidemiology : ASHE · 2026Article
- Metagenomic analysis and proteins prediction of emerging pathogens in artisanal cheese.Molecular diversity · 2025Article
- It's time to act: Understanding and combatingVirulence · 2025Review
- Evaluating the role of microplastics and wastewater in shaping Vibrio spp. and antibiotic resistance gene abundance in urban freshwaters.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- High Proteolytic and Collagenolytic Activity in an EnvironmentalInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2025Article
- Plant-Based Diets and Climate Change, A Perspective for Infectious Disease Providers.Open forum infectious diseases · 2025Review
- Vibrio fluvialis Bacteremia With Bullous Cellulitis.Cureus · 2025Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors at 6 institutions in 3 countries.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Vibrio vulnificus is an opportunistic bacterial pathogen, occurring in warm low-salinity waters. V. vulnificus wound infections due to seawater exposure are infrequent but mortality rates are high (~ 18%). Seawater bacterial concentrations are increasing but changing disease pattern assessments or climate change projections are rare. Here, using a 30-year database of V. vulnificus cases for the Eastern USA, changing disease distribution was assessed. An ecological niche model was developed, trained and validated to identify links to oceanographic and climate data. This model was used to predict future disease distribution using data simulated by seven Global Climate Models (GCMs) which belong to the newest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Risk was estimated by calculating the total population within 200 km of the disease distribution. Predictions were generated for different "pathways" of global socioeconomic development which incorporate projections of greenhouse gas emissions and demographic change. In Eastern USA between 1988 and 2018, V. vulnificus wound infections increased eightfold (10-80 cases p.a.) and the northern case limit shifted northwards 48 km p.a. By 2041-2060, V. vulnificus infections may expand their current range to encompass major population centres around New York (40.7°N). Combined with a growing and increasingly elderly population, annual case numbers may double. By 2081-2100 V. vulnificus infections may be present in every Eastern USA State under medium-to-high future emissions and warming. The projected expansion of V. vulnificus wound infections stresses the need for increased individual and public health awareness in these areas.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.