Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36952534›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

A three protein signature fails to externally validate as a biomarker to predict surgical outcome in high-grade epithelial ovarian cancer.

Amy Hawarden, Marcus Price, Bryn Russell, Godfrey Wilson, Laura Farrelly, Andrew Embleton-Thirsk, Mahesh Parmar, Richard Edmondson

Full text readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Amy HawardenDivision of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, St Mary's Hospital, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Marcus PriceDivision of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, St Mary's Hospital, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Bryn RussellDivision of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, St Mary's Hospital, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Godfrey WilsonDepartment of Histopathology, Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, United Kingdom.
Laura FarrellyCRUK and UCL Cancer Trials Centre, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
Andrew Embleton-ThirskInstitute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
Mahesh ParmarInstitute of Clinical Trials and Methodology, UCL, London, United Kingdom.
Richard EdmondsonDivision of Cancer Sciences, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, St Mary's Hospital, Manchester, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2553-4423

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionFor patients with advanced epithelial ovarian cancer, complete surgical cytoreduction remains the strongest predictor of outcome. However, identifying patients who are likely to benefit from such surgery remains elusive and to date few surgical outcome prediction tools have been validated. Here we attempted to externally validate a promising three protein signature, which had previously shown strong association with suboptimal surgical debulking (AUC 0.89, accuracy 92.8%), (Riester, M., et al., (2014)).

methods238 high-grade epithelial ovarian cancer samples were collected from patients who participated in a large multicentre trial (ICON5). Samples were collected at the time of initial surgery and before randomisation. Surgical outcome data were collated from prospectively collected study records. Immunohistochemical scores were generated by two independent observers for the three proteins in the original signature (POSTN, CXCL14 and pSmad2/3). Predictive values were generated for individual and combination protein signatures.

resultsWhen assessed individually, none of the proteins showed any evidence of predictive affinity for suboptimal surgical outcome in our cohort (AUC POSTN 0.55, pSmad 2/3 0.53, CXCL 14 0.62). The combined signature again showed poor predictive ability with an AUC 0.58.

conclusionsDespite showing original promise, when this protein signature is applied to a large external cohort, it is unable to accurately predict surgical outcomes. This could be attributed to overfitting of the original model, or differences in surgical practice between cohorts.

Indexed as

Ovarian NeoplasmsBiomarkersCarcinoma, Ovarian EpithelialCytoreduction Surgical ProceduresFemaleHumansPrognosisProteinsTreatment OutcomeBiomarkersProteins

Identifiers

PMID36952534
PMCPMC10035831

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LicenceCC BY
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.