ArticleMalaria journal2023
Mapping current and future thermal limits to suitability for malaria transmission by the invasive mosquito Anopheles stephensi.
Article in Malaria journal, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- A systematic review of interventions targetingWellcome open research · 2024Pooled it
- Mosquito population dynamics are shaped by interactions among larval density, temperature, and relative humidity.Ecology · 2026Article
- Article
- Local trait responses and aquatic microclimates increase projected habitat suitability for field-collectedbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Warming temperatures reduce lifespan and vectorial capacity of Anopheles mosquitoes in Ghana.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Ovicidal and larvicidal activity of the Impatiens rothii and Salvia officinalis extracts against Anopheles stephensi (Culicidae: Diptera) in laboratory conditions.Malaria journal · 2026Article
- Humidity shapes the thermal niche ofbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026Article
- Suitable ecological niches of invasive malaria vector under present and projected climatic conditions in South of Iran.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- The Effect of Artemether-Lumefantrine Combined with a Single Dose of Primaquine onTropical medicine and infectious disease · 2026Article
- Spatial Distribution and Biodiversity ofTropical medicine and infectious disease · 2025Article
- Design and Implementation of a One Health Framework for Evaluating the Transmission Potential of Pathogens of Public Health Interest for Surveillance Studies.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025Article
- A Scoping Review of Mosquito Vector Range Shifts: Widespread Expansions and Evidence Gaps in Climate Attribution.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Climate Change Is Expected to Expand Malaria Transmission Range and Population at Risk in Papua New Guinea.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Agent-Based Modeling Approach for Population Dynamics of the Biological Vector Aedes Aegypti.Methods of information in medicine · 2025Article
- The impact of temperature on canine Chagas disease transmission risk: A modeling study.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Future global distribution and climatic suitability of Anopheles stephensi.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Regulation of diel locomotor activity and retinal responses of Anopheles stephensi by ingested histamine and serotonin is temperature- and infection-dependent.PLoS pathogens · 2025Article
- A systematic review of climate-change driven range shifts in mosquito vectors.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025Article
- Pathogens and planetary change.Nature reviews. Biodiversity · 2025Article
- Synthesis, Antimalarial Activity and Molecular Dynamics Studies of Pipecolisporin: A Novel Cyclic Hexapeptide with Potent Therapeutic Potential.Molecules (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
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6 authors.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundAnopheles stephensi is a malaria-transmitting mosquito that has recently expanded from its primary range in Asia and the Middle East, to locations in Africa. This species is a competent vector of both Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax malaria. Perhaps most alarming, the characteristics of An. stephensi, such as container breeding and anthropophily, make it particularly adept at exploiting built environments in areas with no prior history of malaria risk.
methodsIn this paper, global maps of thermal transmission suitability and people at risk (PAR) for malaria transmission by An. stephensi were created, under current and future climate. Temperature-dependent transmission suitability thresholds derived from recently published species-specific thermal curves were used to threshold gridded, monthly mean temperatures under current and future climatic conditions. These temperature driven transmission models were coupled with gridded population data for 2020 and 2050, under climate-matched scenarios for future outcomes, to compare with baseline predictions for 2020 populations.
resultsUsing the Global Burden of Disease regions approach revealed that heterogenous regional increases and decreases in risk did not mask the overall pattern of massive increases of PAR for malaria transmission suitability with An. stephensi presence. General patterns of poleward expansion for thermal suitability were seen for both P. falciparum and P. vivax transmission potential.
conclusionsUnderstanding the potential suitability for An. stephensi transmission in a changing climate provides a key tool for planning, given an ongoing invasion and expansion of the vector. Anticipating the potential impact of onward expansion to transmission suitable areas, and the size of population at risk under future climate scenarios, and where they occur, can serve as a large-scale call for attention, planning, and monitoring.
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