Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36944651›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Supply chains create global benefits from improved vaccine accessibility.

Daoping Wang, Ottar N Bjørnstad, Tianyang Lei, Yida Sun, Jingwen Huo, Qi Hao, Zhao Zeng, Shupeng Zhu, Stéphane Hallegatte, Ruiyun Li and 2 more

Erratum issuedFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Design and management considerations for the Kenya-Tanzania marine transboundary conservation area.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2025
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Association of vaccination, international travel, public health and social measures with lineage dynamics of SARS-CoV-2.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Daoping WangDepartment of Computer Science and Technology, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5221-4965
Ottar N BjørnstadCenter for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Entomology, Pennsylvania State University, State College, PA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1158-3753
Tianyang LeiDepartment of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8468-6550
Yida SunDepartment of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8160-1358
Jingwen HuoDepartment of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Qi HaoDepartment of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0320-0097
Zhao ZengCollege of Management and Economics, Tianjin University, Tianjin, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9001-3029
Shupeng ZhuAdvanced Power and Energy Program, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8446-9329
Stéphane HallegatteThe World Bank, Washington DC, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1781-4268
Ruiyun LiCentre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biosciences, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Dabo GuanDepartment of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China. guandabo@tsinghua.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3773-3403
Nils C StensethCentre for Ecological and Evolutionary Synthesis, Department of Biosciences, Faculty of Mathematics and Natural Sciences, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway. n.c.stenseth@mn.uio.no.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1591-5399

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ensuring a more equitable distribution of vaccines worldwide is an effective strategy to control global pandemics and support economic recovery. We analyze the socioeconomic effects - defined as health gains, lockdown-easing effect, and supply-chain rebuilding benefit - of a set of idealized COVID-19 vaccine distribution scenarios. We find that an equitable vaccine distribution across the world would increase global economic benefits by 11.7% ($950 billion per year), compared to a scenario focusing on vaccinating the entire population within vaccine-producing countries first and then distributing vaccines to non-vaccine-producing countries. With limited doses among low-income countries, prioritizing the elderly who are at high risk of dying, together with the key front-line workforce who are at high risk of exposure is projected to be economically beneficial (e.g., 0.9%~3.4% annual GDP in India). Our results reveal how equitable distributions would cascade more protection of vaccines to people and ways to improve vaccine equity and accessibility globally through international collaboration.

Indexed as

COVID-19VaccinesAgedCommunicable Disease ControlCOVID-19 VaccinesGlobal HealthHumansCOVID-19 VaccinesVaccines

Identifiers

PMID36944651
PMCPMC10030081

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read55
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.