ArticlePloS one2023
Clinical courses, impact and prognostic indicators for a persistent course of low back pain: Results from a population-based cohort study.
Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- Five-Year Trajectories of Disability in Older Adults Seeking Care for Back Pain in the Netherlands: BACE-Dutch Cohort.European journal of pain (London, England) · 2026Article
- Social factors contributing to the development of chronic low back pain: a scoping review.BMC musculoskeletal disorders · 2025Article
- Male and female workers suffering from chronic low back pain display different interrelationships between the biopsychosocial variables.Journal of rehabilitation medicine · 2025Article
- Failed back surgery syndrome successfully ameliorated with Chiropractic BiophysicsJournal of physical therapy science · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundLow back pain (LBP) is a long-term health condition with distinct clinical courses. Its characterization together with the identification of prognostic factors for a persistent LBP course may trigger the development of personalized interventions. This study aimed to investigate the courses of chronic LBP (CLBP), its cumulative impact, and the indicators for the persistence of pain. MATERIAL AND
methodsPatients with active CLBP from the EpiDoC, a population-based cohort study of a randomly recruited sample of 10.661 adults with prolonged follow-up, were considered. Pain, disability, and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) were assessed at three time-points over five years. According to their pain symptoms over time, participants were classified as having a persistent (pain at the baseline and at all the subsequent time-points) or a relapsing pain course (pain at the baseline and no pain at least in one of the subsequent time-points). A mixed ANOVA was used to compare mean differences within and between patients of distinct courses. Prognostic indicators for the persistent LBP course were modulated through logistic regression.
resultsAmong the 1.201 adults with active CLBP at baseline, 634 (52.8%) completed the three time-points of data collection: 400 (63.1%) had a persistent and 234 (36.9%) a relapsing course. Statistically significant interactions were found between the group and time on disability (F (2,1258) = 23.779, p<0.001) and HRQoL (F (2,1252) = 82.779, p<0.001). In the adjusted model, the persistent course was associated with the disability level (OR 1.86, CI95% 1.40-2.40, p<0.001), depressive symptoms (OR 1.96, CI95% 1.21-3.18, p = 0.007), female gender (OR 1.90, CI95% 1.26-2.87, p = 0.002) and having a manual job (OR 1.46, CI95% 1.02-2.10, p = 0.040).
conclusionIn the long-term, patients with CLBP may follow a persistent or relapsing course of pain. Being female, presenting depressive symptoms, having a manual job and higher disability at baseline predicts a persistent course of LBP.
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