Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36928239›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Using AlphaFold to predict the impact of single mutations on protein stability and function.

Marina A Pak, Karina A Markhieva, Mariia S Novikova, Dmitry S Petrov, Ilya S Vorobyev, Ekaterina S Maksimova, Fyodor A Kondrashov, Dmitry N Ivankov

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 199 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
199citing papers in PubMed
39.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

199 citing papers in PubMed, 271 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Emergence Biases in Molecular Evolution.Genome biology and evolution · 2026
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  13. Limitations of the refolding pipeline for de novo protein design.Protein science : a publication of the Protein Society · 2026
    Article
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139 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Marina A PakCenter of Life Sciences, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Moscow, Russia.
Karina A MarkhievaPeoples' Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University), Moscow, Russia.
Mariia S NovikovaArmand Hammer United World College of the American West, Montezuma, New Mexico, United Stated of America.
Dmitry S PetrovSpecialized Educational and Scientific Center of UrFU (SUNC UrFU), Ekaterinburg, Russia.
Ilya S VorobyevCenter of Life Sciences, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Moscow, Russia.
Ekaterina S MaksimovaInstitute of Science and Technology Austria, Maria Gugging, Austria.
Fyodor A KondrashovInstitute of Science and Technology Austria, Maria Gugging, Austria.
Dmitry N IvankovCenter of Life Sciences, Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Moscow, Russia.ORCID 0000-0002-8224-4118
Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology · RUInstitute of Science and Technology Austria · ATOkinawa Institute of Science and Technology Graduate University · JPPeoples' Friendship University of Russia · RU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

AlphaFold changed the field of structural biology by achieving three-dimensional (3D) structure prediction from protein sequence at experimental quality. The astounding success even led to claims that the protein folding problem is "solved". However, protein folding problem is more than just structure prediction from sequence. Presently, it is unknown if the AlphaFold-triggered revolution could help to solve other problems related to protein folding. Here we assay the ability of AlphaFold to predict the impact of single mutations on protein stability (ΔΔG) and function. To study the question we extracted the pLDDT and <pLDDT> metrics from AlphaFold predictions before and after single mutation in a protein and correlated the predicted change with the experimentally known ΔΔG values. Additionally, we correlated the same AlphaFold pLDDT metrics with the impact of a single mutation on structure using a large scale dataset of single mutations in GFP with the experimentally assayed levels of fluorescence. We found a very weak or no correlation between AlphaFold output metrics and change of protein stability or fluorescence. Our results imply that AlphaFold may not be immediately applied to other problems or applications in protein folding.

Indexed as

Protein FoldingProteinsAmino Acid SequenceMutationProtein StabilityProteins

Identifiers

PMID36928239
PMCPMC10019719
OpenAlexW4327566741

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read8
table measurements read2
identifiers read2
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.