Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36927700›Full record

ArticleJournal of health, population, and nutrition2023

Future of myocardial infarction mortality in Iran: a scenario-based study.

Gisoo Alizadeh, Kamal Gholipour, Maryam Kazemi Shishavan, Reza Dehnavieh, Salime Goharinejad, Morteza Arab-Zozani, Mohammad Farough Khosravi, Rahim Khodayari-Zarnaq

Full text read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of health, population, and nutrition, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Gisoo AlizadehTabriz Health Services Management Research Center, School of Management and Medical Informatics, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Daneshgah Street, 5165665811, Tabriz, Iran.
Kamal GholipourTabriz Health Services Management Research Center, School of Management and Medical Informatics, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Daneshgah Street, 5165665811, Tabriz, Iran.
Maryam Kazemi ShishavanDepartment of Family and Community Medicine, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran.
Reza DehnaviehHealth Services Management Research Center, Institute for Futures Studies in Health, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.
Salime GoharinejadPreventive Medicine and Public Health Research Center, Psychosocial Health Research Institute, Iran University of Medical Sciences, P.O. Box: 1449614535, Tehran, Iran.
Morteza Arab-ZozaniSocial Determinants of Health Research Center, Birjand University of Medical Sciences, Birjand, Iran.
Mohammad Farough KhosraviDepartment of Health Economics and Management, School of Public Health Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.
Rahim Khodayari-ZarnaqTabriz Health Services Management Research Center, School of Management and Medical Informatics, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Daneshgah Street, 5165665811, Tabriz, Iran. rahimzarnagh@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

This study defines futures myocardial infarction landscapes and proposes a few policy options to reduce the burden of cardiovascular diseases using the scenario development method. We identified the effective drivers of myocardial infarction by reviewing the literature and completed the returned list with "experts" opinions. The results were classified using the STEEP (Social, Technological, Environmental, Economic, and Political) framework. We plotted the critical uncertainties in a two-dimensional ranking of "effect" and "uncertainty" levels. Eleven drivers with uncertainty and high potential impact were selected and categorized into three groups: Political Development, Access to health services, and Self-Care. Scenarios were developed, and 3 scenarios (optimistic, pessimistic, and possible) were selected based on scoring. For each scenario, policy options were formulated. Utilizing the capacity of Non-Governmental Organizations and charities and strengthening restrictive and punitive legislation was chosen as policy options for addressing possible scenarios. Building infrastructure and improving prevention services, designing and regenerating curative infrastructure were selected as optimal strategies for addressing issues related to the optimistic scenario. Strengthening restrictive and punitive legislation related to community health and population empowerment were proposed as critical policy options for health improvement regarding the pessimistic scenario. Increasing people's participation, strengthening infrastructure and punitive policies can be effective in Myocardial infarction mortality prevention policies in Iran.

Indexed as

Myocardial InfarctionPublic HealthHumansIranFutures studyMyocardial infarctionNon-communicable diseasesPolicy optionScenario development

Identifiers

PMID36927700
PMCPMC10018627

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read7
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.