Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36927598›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2023

Risk of Aneurysm Rupture (ROAR) study: protocol for a long-term, longitudinal, UK multicentre study of unruptured intracranial aneurysms.

Samuel Hall, Jacqueline Birks, Ian Anderson, Andrew Bacon, Paul M Brennan, David Bennett, Emmanuel Chavredakis, Giles Critchley, Graham Dow, Jonathan Downer and 20 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
2.7field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Computational fluid dynamics and shape analysis enhance aneurysm rupture risk stratification.International journal of computer assisted radiology and surgery · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors at 20 institutions in 1 country.

Samuel HallDepartment of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7335-6636
Jacqueline BirksCentre for Statistics in Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8310-9911
Ian AndersonDepartment of Neurosurgery, The Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Leeds, UK.
Andrew BaconDepartment of Neurosurgery, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Sheffield, UK.
Paul M BrennanDepartment of Clinical Neurosciences, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7347-830X
David BennettDepartment of Neurosurgery, NHS Tayside, Dundee, UK.
Emmanuel ChavredakisDepartment of Neurosurgery, Walton Centre NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Giles CritchleyDepartment of Neurosurgery, University Hospitals Sussex NHS Foundation Trust, Brighton, UK.
Graham DowDepartment of Neurosurgery, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, UK.
Jonathan DownerDepartment of Clinical Neurosciences, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8272-092X
James GaleaNeurosurgical Department, University Hospital of Wales Healthcare NHS Trust, Cardiff, UK.
Patrick GroverNational Hospital for Neurology and Neurosurgery, University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Nihal GurusingheDepartment of Neurosurgery, Lancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Preston, UK.
Adel HelmyDepartment of neurosurgery, Cambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Cambridge, UK.
Gueorgui KouninDepartment of Neurosurgery, Hull University Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust, Hull, UK.
Nitin MukerjiDepartment of Neurosurgery, South Tees Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Middlesbrough, UK.
Hiren PatelDepartment of Neurosurgery, Northern Care Alliance NHS Foundation Trust, Salford, UK.
Jash PatelDepartment of Neurosurgery, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK.
Nicholas RossDepartment of Neurosurgery, Newcastle Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle, UK.
Jerome St GeorgeDepartment of Neurosurgery, Institute of Neurological Sciences, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, Glasgow, UK.
Mario TeoDepartment of Neurosurgery, North Bristol NHS Trust, Bristol, UK.
Christos Michael ToliasNeurosurgery, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK.
Nikolaos TzerakisDepartment of Neurosurgery, University Hospitals of North Midlands NHS Trust, Stoke-on-Trent, UK.
Christopher UffDepartment of Neurosurgery, Barts Health NHS Trust, London, UK.
Janneke van BeijumNeurosurgical Department, University Hospital of Wales Healthcare NHS Trust, Cardiff, UK.
Kristin VeigheyDepartment of Renal Medicine, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK.
Edward WhiteDepartment of Neurosurgery, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK.
Peter WhitfieldSouth West Neurosurgery Centre, University Hospitals Plymouth NHS Trust, Plymouth, UK.
Diederik Oliver BultersDepartment of Neurosurgery, University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust, Southampton, UK dbulters@nhs.net.
ROAR Investigators
University Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity Hospital of Wales · GBWestern General Hospital · GBBarts Health NHS Trust · GBCambridge University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBKing's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust · GBLancashire Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBLeeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust · GBNewcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBNHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde · GBNHS Tayside · GBNorth Bristol NHS Trust · GBNorthern Health and Social Care Trust · GBNottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust · GBOxford University Hospitals NHS Trust · GBSheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBSouth Tees Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity Hospitals of North Midlands NHS Trust · GB

Funding

Department of Health NIHR203628
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionUnruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIA) are common in the adult population, but only a relatively small proportion will rupture. It is therefore essential to have accurate estimates of rupture risk to target treatment towards those who stand to benefit and avoid exposing patients to the risks of unnecessary treatment. The best available UIA natural history data are the PHASES study. However, this has never been validated and given the known heterogeneity in the populations, methods and biases of the constituent studies, there is a need to do so. There are also many potential predictors not considered in PHASES that require evaluation, and the estimated rupture risk is largely based on short-term follow-up (mostly 1 year). The aims of this study are to: (1) test the accuracy of PHASES in a UK population, (2) evaluate additional predictors of rupture and (3) assess long-term UIA rupture rates. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: The Risk of Aneurysm Rupture study is a longitudinal multicentre study that will identify patients with known UIA seen in neurosurgery units. Patients will have baseline demographics and aneurysm characteristics collected by their neurosurgery unit and then a single aggregated national cohort will be linked to databases of hospital admissions and deaths to identify all patients who may have subsequently suffered a subarachnoid haemorrhage. All matched admissions and deaths will be checked against medical records to confirm the diagnosis of aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage. The target sample size is 20 000 patients. The primary outcome will be aneurysm rupture resulting in hospital admission or death. Cox regression models will be built to test each of the study's aims. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: Ethical approval has been given by South Central Hampshire A Research Ethics Committee (21SC0064) and Confidentiality Advisory Group support (21CAG0033) provided under Section 251 of the NHS Act 2006. The results will be disseminated in peer-reviewed journals. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: ISRCTN17658526.

Indexed as

Aneurysm, RupturedIntracranial AneurysmSubarachnoid HemorrhageAdultHumansMulticenter Studies as TopicRisk FactorsUnited Kingdomepidemiologyneurosurgerystroke

Identifiers

PMID36927598
PMCPMC10030903
OpenAlexW4327627019

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.