Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36926939›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2023

Bone Morphogenetic Protein 10-A Novel Biomarker to Predict Adverse Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.

Elisa Hennings, Steffen Blum, Stefanie Aeschbacher, Michael Coslovsky, Sven Knecht, Ceylan Eken, Mirko Lischer, Rebecca E Paladini, Philipp Krisai, Tobias Reichlin and 18 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT02105844 (Swiss Atrial Fibrillation Cohort Study - SWISS AF), which is not on this map. Cited by 24 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed
7.2field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT02105844 active not recruitingnot on this map

Swiss Atrial Fibrillation Cohort Study - SWISS AF

TypeobservationalSponsorUniversity Hospital, Basel, SwitzerlandRan2014 to 2030Enrolled2,415ConditionsAtrial Fibrillation
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Interactions of blood biomolecules with early rhythm control in atrial fibrillation patients: exploratory analysis of the EAST-AFNET 4 biomolecule study.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
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  5. Comprehensive assessment of novel cardiovascular biomarkers in AF.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  6. A novel technique for vein of Marshall blood sampling and its application in assessing atrial remodeling in atrial fibrillation.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2025
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  7. Bone morphogenetic protein 10: clinical correlates and risk of incident atrial fibrillation.American journal of physiology. Heart and circulatory physiology · 2025
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  17. BMP10 reflects pre-capillary pulmonary hemodynamics: association of biomarkers and hemodynamic parameters in pulmonary hypertension.Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society · 2025
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  19. Atrial cardiomyopathy revisited-evolution of a concept: a clinical consensus statement of the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) of the ESC, the Heart Rhythm Society (HRS), the Asian Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS), and the Latin American Heart Rhythm Society (LAHRS).Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

28 authors at 10 institutions in 3 countries.

Elisa HenningsCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-2616-5535
Steffen BlumCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-0325-8993
Stefanie AeschbacherCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-8134-2421
Michael CoslovskyDepartment of Clinical Research University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7678-7354
Sven KnechtCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7122-021X
Ceylan EkenCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.
Mirko LischerCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7088-2801
Rebecca E PaladiniCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4502-1978
Philipp KrisaiCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-4367-2363
Tobias ReichlinDepartment of Cardiology Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern Bern Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-7197-8415
Nicolas RodondiDepartment of General Internal Medicine Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern Bern Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-9083-6896
Jürg H BeerDepartment of Internal Medicine Cantonal Hospital Baden Baden Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-7199-0406
Peter AmmannDepartment of Cardiology Kantonsspital St. Gallen St. Gallen Switzerland.
Giulio ConteCardiocentro Ticino Institute Ente Ospedaliero Cantonale Lugano Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-2248-3456
Maria Luisa De PernaCardiology Division EOC Regional Hospital of Lugano Lugano Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1171-7640
Richard KobzaCardiology Division Heart Center, Luzerner Kantonsspital Luzern Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-3988-7262
Manuel R BlumDepartment of General Internal Medicine Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern Bern Switzerland.
Matthias BossardCardiology Division Heart Center, Luzerner Kantonsspital Luzern Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-8290-661X
Peter KastnerRoche Diagnostics GmbH Penzberg Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-8744-7152
André ZieglerRoche Diagnostics International AG Rotkreuz Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9838-8087
Christian MüllerCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-1120-6405
Leo H BonatiCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.
Otmar PfisterCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-6155-5494
Christine S ZuernCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-6625-284X
David ConenPopulation Health Research Institute McMaster University Hamilton Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-2459-5251
Michael KühneCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-2937-3711
Stefan OsswaldCardiovascular Research Institute Basel University Hospital Basel, University of Basel Basel Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-9240-6731
Swiss‐AF Investigators
University of Basel · CHUniversity of Bern · CHLuzerner Kantonsspital · CHEnte Ospedaliero Cantonale · CHKantonsspital Baden · CHKantonsspital St. Gallen · CHOspedale regionale di Lugano · CHPopulation Health Research Institute · CARoche Pharma AG (Germany) · DERoche (Switzerland) · CH

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) face an increased risk of death and major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE). We aimed to assess the predictive value of the novel atrial-specific biomarker BMP10 (bone morphogenetic protein 10) for death and MACE in patients with AF in comparison with NT-proBNP (N-terminal prohormone of B-type natriuretic peptide). Methods and Results BMP10 and NT-proBNP were measured in patients with AF enrolled in Swiss-AF (Swiss Atrial Fibrillation Study), a prospective multicenter cohort study. A total of 2219 patients were included (median follow-up 4.3 years [interquartile range 3.9, 5.1], mean age 73±9 years, 73% male). In multivariable Cox proportional hazard models, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) associated with 1 ng/mL increase of BMP10 was 1.60 (95% CI, 1.37-1.87) for all-cause death, and 1.54 (95% CI, 1.35-1.76) for MACE. For all-cause death, the concordance index was 0.783 (95% CI, 0.763-0.809) for BMP10, 0.784 (95% CI, 0.765-0.810) for NT-proBNP, and 0.789 (95% CI, 0.771-0.815) for both biomarkers combined. For MACE, the concordance index was 0.732 (95% CI, 0.715-0.754) for BMP10, 0.747 (95% CI, 0.731-0.768) for NT-proBNP, and 0.750 (95% CI, 0.734-0.771) for both biomarkers combined. When grouping patients according to NT-proBNP categories (<300, 300-900, >900 ng/L), higher aHRs were observed in patients with high BMP10 in the categories of low NT-proBNP (all-cause death aHR, 2.28 [95% CI, 1.15-4.52], MACE aHR, 1.88 [95% CI, 1.07-3.28]) and high NT-proBNP (all-cause death aHR, 1.61 [95% CI, 1.14-2.26], MACE aHR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.07-1.80]). Conclusions BMP10 strongly predicted all-cause death and MACE in patients with AF. BMP10 provided additional prognostic information in low- and high-risk patients according to NT-proBNP stratification. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02105844.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationAgedAged, 80 and overBiomarkersBone Morphogenetic ProteinsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide FragmentsPrognosisProspective StudiesBiomarkersBMP10 protein, humanBone Morphogenetic ProteinsNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentsatrial fibrillationBMP10bone morphogenetic protein 10deathMACE

Identifiers

PMID36926939
PMCPMC10111531
OpenAlexW4327684389

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.