Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36923422›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2023

Risk factor analysis and construction of prediction models of gallbladder carcinoma in patients with gallstones.

Zhencheng Zhu, Kunlun Luo, Bo Zhang, Gang Wang, Ke Guo, Pin Huang, Qiuhua Liu

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Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Diagnostic Risk Prediction Models for Upper Gastrointestinal Cancers: A Systematic Review.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Zhencheng ZhuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Zhangjiagang City First People's Hospital, Suzhou, China.
Kunlun LuoDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The 904th Hospital of Joint Logistic Support Force of PLA, Wuxi, China.
Bo ZhangDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Zhangjiagang City First People's Hospital, Suzhou, China.
Gang WangDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Zhangjiagang City First People's Hospital, Suzhou, China.
Ke GuoDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Zhangjiagang City First People's Hospital, Suzhou, China.
Pin HuangDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Zhangjiagang City First People's Hospital, Suzhou, China.
Qiuhua LiuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Zhangjiagang City First People's Hospital, Suzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) is a biliary tract tumor with a high mortality rate. The objectives of this study were to explore the risk factors of GBC in patients with gallstones and to establish effective screening indicators. Methods: A total of 588 patients from medical centers in two different regions of China were included in this study and defined as the internal test samples and the external validation samples, respectively. We retrospectively reviewed the differences in clinicopathologic data of the internal test samples to find the independent risk factors that affect the occurrence of GBC. Then, we constructed three different combined predictive factors (CPFs) through the weighting method, integral system, and nomogram, respectively, and named them CPF-A, CPF-B, and CPF-C sequentially. Furthermore, we evaluated these indicators through calibration and DCA curves. The ROC curve was used to analyze their diagnostic efficiency. Finally, their diagnostic capabilities were validated in the external validation samples. Results: In the internal test samples, the results showed that five factors, namely, age (RR = 3.077, 95% CI: 1.731-5.496), size of gallstones (RR = 13.732, 95% CI: 5.937-31.762), course of gallstones (RR = 2.438, 95% CI: 1.350-4.403), CEA (RR = 9.464, 95% CI: 3.394-26.392), and CA199 (RR = 9.605, 95% CI: 4.512-20.446), were independent risk factors for GBC in patients with gallstones. Then, we established three predictive indicators: CPF-A, CPF-B, and CPF-C. These models were further validated using bootstrapping with 1,000 repetitions. Calibration and decision curve analysis showed that the three models fit well. Meanwhile, multivariate analysis showed that CPF-B and CPF-C were independent risk factors for GBC in patients with gallstones. In addition, the validation results of the external validation samples are essentially consistent with the internal test samples. Conclusion: Age (≤58.5

Indexed as

clinical prediction modelgallbladder neoplasmslogistic (logit) regressionnomogramrisk factors

Identifiers

PMID36923422
PMCPMC10009222

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