Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36918835›Full record

ArticleBMC infectious diseases2023

Co-morbidity associated with development of severe COVID-19 before vaccine availability: a retrospective cohort study in the first pandemic year among the middle-aged and elderly in Jönköping county, Sweden.

Dennis Nordvall, Dan Drobin, Toomas Timpka, Robert G Hahn

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC infectious diseases, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Dennis NordvallQulturum Development Department, Region Jönköping County, Jönköping, Sweden.
Dan DrobinRegion Jönköping County, Division of Surgical Care, Jönköping, Sweden.
Toomas TimpkaDepartment of Medical and Health Sciences, Linköping University, Linköping, Sweden.
Robert G HahnResearch Unit, Södertälje Hospital, Karolinska Institutet at Danderyds Hospital (KIDS), 152 86, Södertälje, Sweden. robert.hahn@ki.se.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1528-3803
Region Jönköpings län · SEKarolinska Institutet · SELinköping University · SE

Funding

Forskningsrådet i Sydöstra Sverige FORSS-940915Vetenskapsrådet 2022-05608
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn preparation of future pandemics, it is important to recognise population-level determinants associated with development of severe illness before efficient vaccines and evidence-based therapeutic measures are available. The aim of this study was to identify pre-pandemic diagnoses recorded in a middle-aged and elderly population that were associated with development of severe COVID-19 during the first pandemic year.

methodsA cohort study design was used. Severe COVID-19 was defined as a course of illness that resulted in hospital admission or death. A retrospective analysis was performed that comprised all individuals aged 39 years and older (N = 189,951) living in Jönköping County, Sweden. All diagnosed morbidity recorded in contacts with health care during the pre-pandemic year 2019 was used to identify which diagnoses that were associated with development of severe COVID-19 in the first pandemic year 2020. The analyses were performed separately for each diagnosis using binary logistic regression with adjustment for sex and age.

resultsSevere COVID-19 was suffered by 0.67% (N = 1,280) of the middle-aged and elderly population in the first pandemic year. Individuals previously diagnosed with dementia, cerebral palsy, kidney failure, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and obesity were at higher risk of developing severe COVID-19. For patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus, the odds ratio (OR) was 2.18 (95% confidence interval, 1.92-2.48). Type 1 diabetes mellitus was not associated with increased risk.

conclusionDiagnoses suggesting service provision at long-term healthcare facilities and co-morbidity with components of the metabolic syndrome were associated with an increased risk of developing severe COVID-19 in a middle-aged and elderly population before vaccines were available.

Indexed as

COVID-19Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2VaccinesAgedCohort StudiesHumansMiddle AgedPandemicsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSwedenVaccinesCovid-19, lipidsDiabetes type 2Epidemiology

Identifiers

PMID36918835
PMCPMC10012282
OpenAlexW4324311177

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.