Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36915217›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and infection2023

Predictive modelling of Ross River virus using climate data in the Darling Downs.

Julia Meadows, Celia McMichael, Patricia T Campbell

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and infection, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 31% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Julia MeadowsSchool of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Faculty of Science, The University of Melbourne, 221 Bouverie St, Carlton, VIC 3053, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-2633-9275
Celia McMichaelSchool of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Faculty of Science, The University of Melbourne, 221 Bouverie St, Carlton, VIC 3053, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-4572-602X
Patricia T CampbellDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Melbourne Medical School, University of Melbourne at the Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity, Melbourne, VIC 3000, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-4013-9835
The University of Melbourne · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ross River virus (RRV) is the most common mosquito-borne infection in Australia. RRV disease is characterised by joint pain and lethargy, placing a substantial burden on individual patients, the healthcare system and economy. This burden is compounded by a lack of effective treatment or vaccine for the disease. The complex RRV disease ecology cycle includes a number of reservoirs and vectors that inhabit a range of environments and climates across Australia. Climate is known to influence humans, animals and the environment and has previously been shown to be useful to RRV prediction models. We developed a negative binomial regression model to predict monthly RRV case numbers and outbreaks in the Darling Downs region of Queensland, Australia. Human RRV notifications and climate data for the period July 2001 - June 2014 were used for model training. Model predictions were tested using data for July 2014 - June 2019. The final model was moderately effective at predicting RRV case numbers (Pearson's

Indexed as

Alphavirus InfectionsRoss River virusAnimalsAustraliaClimateHumansMosquito VectorsArbovirusesclimatemosquito-borne diseasenegative binomial regressionRoss River virus

Identifiers

PMID36915217
PMCPMC10126892
OpenAlexW4324130107

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.