Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36915039›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2023

The declining trend in HIV prevalence from population-based surveys in Cameroon between 2004 and 2018: myth or reality in the universal test and treat era?

Cavin Epie Bekolo, C Kouanfack, J Ateudjieu, E T Bechem, S A Ndeso, N Tendengfor, D S Nsagha, S P Choukem

Open access · goldFull text read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Review
  9. Outcome of non-traumatic coma in a tertiary referral hospital in Cameroon.African journal of emergency medicine : Revue africaine de la medecine d'urgence · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Cavin Epie BekoloDepartment of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Dschang, PO Box 96, Dschang, Cameroon. cavin.bekolo@univ-dschang.org.
C KouanfackDepartment of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Dschang, PO Box 96, Dschang, Cameroon.
J AteudjieuDepartment of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Dschang, PO Box 96, Dschang, Cameroon.
E T BechemDepartment of Botany and Plant Physiology, Faculty of Sciences, University of Buea, Buea, Cameroon.
S A NdesoDepartment of Public Health and Hygiene, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of of Buea, Buea, Cameroon.
N TendengforDepartment of Public Health and Hygiene, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of of Buea, Buea, Cameroon.
D S NsaghaDepartment of Public Health and Hygiene, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of of Buea, Buea, Cameroon.
S P ChoukemDepartment of Internal Medicine and Specialities, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmaceutical Sciences, University of Dschang, Dschang, Cameroon.
University of Buea · CMUniversité de Dschang · CM

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHIV remains an epidemic of major public health importance in Cameroon but a decline in HIV prevalence has been observed according to population-based surveys conducted in 2004, 2011 and 2018. We sought to review current evidence for declining HIV prevalence despite increasing survival owing to 'universal test and treat' and to explore the reason for the decrease, particularly the role of behavioural change.

methodsWe conducted a secondary analysis using HIV prevalence, behavioural and social determinants data of the Demographic and Health Survey Program databases. Trend lines were fitted to data that were available for a minimum of three points in time during the 1991-2018 period. Regression coefficients associated p-values and 95% confidence intervals were obtained using Microsoft Excel software.

resultsOverall adult HIV prevalence decreased significantly from 5.4% (95%CI: 4.8-6.0) in 2004 to 4.3% (95%CI: 3.8-4.8) in 2011 and further down to 2.7% (95%CI: 2.3-3.1) in 2018 at a rate of about 1.4% every septennium (β = -1.4, R² = 0.98, p = 0.03). Yet, the number of persons surviving with HIV increased from about 0.05 million in 1991 to 0.5 million in 2018 corresponding to an increase in access to antiretroviral therapy from less than 10% to universal coverage of 80% respectively. Concurrent reductions in risky sexual behaviours were observed: a delayed sexual debut by one year, decreased sexual violence by 7%, decreased polygamous unions by 16%, decreased multiple sexual partners by 15.3% and increased condom use by 26.3%.

conclusionThe observed decline in HIV prevalence is statistically valid and reflects the observed decline in risky sexual behaviour that need to be sustained by the National HIV programme. Though universal access to ART has increased the number of persons surviving with HIV, this has not led to an increased prevalence of HIV in a setting with a rising population.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsSexual BehaviorAdultCameroonCondomsHumansPrevalenceSexual PartnersCameroonHIV PrevalenceSexual behaviourUniversal antiretroviral treatment

Identifiers

PMID36915039
PMCPMC10009959
OpenAlexW4324130301

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
measurements read70
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.