Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36914628›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Global Protected Areas as refuges for amphibians and reptiles under climate change.

Chunrong Mi, Liang Ma, Mengyuan Yang, Xinhai Li, Shai Meiri, Uri Roll, Oleksandra Oskyrko, Daniel Pincheira-Donoso, Lilly P Harvey, Daniel Jablonski and 28 more

Full text read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 55 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
55citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

55 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Climatic suitability and distribution prediction ofFrontiers in plant science · 2026
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

38 authors.

Chunrong Mi *Key Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Liang Ma *School of Ecology, Shenzhen Campus of Sun Yat-sen University, Shenzhen, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5486-4504
Mengyuan YangZhejiiang University, Hangzhou, China.
Xinhai LiKey Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.
Shai MeiriSchool of Zoology and Steinhardt Museum of Natural History, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Uri RollMitrani Department of Desert Ecology, The Jacob Blaustein Institutes for Desert Research, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Midreshet Ben- Gurion, Israel.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5418-1164
Oleksandra OskyrkoKey Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0092-4193
Daniel Pincheira-DonosoSchool of Biological Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.
Lilly P HarveySchool of Science and Technology, Nottingham Trent University, Clifton Campus, Nottingham, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4852-835X
Daniel JablonskiDepartment of Zoology, Comenius University in Bratislava, Bratislava, Slovakia.
Barbod Safaei-MahrooPars Herpetologists Institute, Corner of third Jahad alley, Arash Str., Jalal-e Ale-Ahmad Boulevard, Tehran, Iran.
Hanyeh GhaffariDepartment of Environmental Sciences, Faculty of Natural Resources, University of Kurdistan, Sanandaj, Iran.
Jiri SmidDepartment of Zoology, Faculty of Science, Charles University, Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0309-209X
Scott JarvieOtago Regional Council, Dunedin, 9016, Aotearoa, New Zealand.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0086-2351
Ronnie Mwangi KimaniNational Museum of Kenya, Herpetology Section, Nairobi, Kenya.
Rafaqat MasroorZoological Sciences Division, Pakistan Museum of Natural History, Garden Avenue, Shakarparian, Islamabad, Pakistan.
Seyed Mahdi KazemiZagros Herpetological Institute, Somayyeh Avenue, Qom, Iran.
Lotanna Micah NnejiDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1422-1683
Arnaud Marius Tchassem FokouaLaboratory of Zoology, University of Yaoundé, Yaoundé, Cameroon.
Geraud C Tasse TaboueMultipurpose Research Station, Institute of Agricultural Research for development, Bangangté, Cameroon.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8545-7584
Aaron BauerDepartment of Biology and Center for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Stewardship, Villanova University, Villanova, PA, USA.
Cristiano NogueiraDepartamento de Ecologia, Instituto de Biociências, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Danny MeirteRoyal Museum for Central Africa, Tervuren, Belgium.
David G ChappleSchool of Biological Sciences, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7720-6280
Indraneil DasInstitute of Biodiversity and Environmental Conservation, Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, Sarawak, Malaysia.
Lee GrismerDepartment of Biology, La Sierra University, Riverside, CA, USA.
Luciano Javier AvilaGrupo Herpetología Patagónica (GHP-LASIBIBE), Instituto Patagónico para el Estudio de los Ecosistemas Continentales (IPEEC-CONICET), Puerto Madryn, Argentina.
Marco Antônio Ribeiro JúniorDepartment of Zoology, Tel-Aviv University, Tel-Aviv, Israel.
Oliver J S TallowinUN Environment Programme World Conservation Monitoring Centre, Cambridge, UK.
Omar Torres-CarvajalMuseo de Zoología, Escuela de Ciencias Biológicas, Pontificia Universidad Católica del Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador.
Philipp WagnerAllwetterzoo, Münster, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0460-2688
Santiago R RonMuseo de Zoología, Escuela de Biología, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Pontificia, Universidad Católica del Ecuador, Quito, Ecuador.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6300-9350
Yuezhao WangChengdu Institute of Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu, China.
Yuval ItescuLeibniz Institute of Freshwater Ecology and Inland Fisheries (IGB), Müggelseedamm, Berlin, Germany.
Zoltán Tamás NagyIndependent researcher, Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8455-040X
David S WilcoveDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, USA.
Xuan LiuKey Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China. liuxuan@ioz.ac.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1572-1268
Weiguo DuKey Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China. duweiguo@ioz.ac.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1868-5664

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Protected Areas (PAs) are the cornerstone of biodiversity conservation. Here, we collated distributional data for >14,000 (~70% of) species of amphibians and reptiles (herpetofauna) to perform a global assessment of the conservation effectiveness of PAs using species distribution models. Our analyses reveal that >91% of herpetofauna species are currently distributed in PAs, and that this proportion will remain unaltered under future climate change. Indeed, loss of species' distributional ranges will be lower inside PAs than outside them. Therefore, the proportion of effectively protected species is predicted to increase. However, over 7.8% of species currently occur outside PAs, and large spatial conservation gaps remain, mainly across tropical and subtropical moist broadleaf forests, and across non-high-income countries. We also predict that more than 300 amphibian and 500 reptile species may go extinct under climate change over the course of the ongoing century. Our study highlights the importance of PAs in providing herpetofauna with refuge from climate change, and suggests ways to optimize PAs to better conserve biodiversity worldwide.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeEcosystemAmphibiansAnimalsBiodiversityConservation of Natural ResourcesReptiles

Identifiers

PMID36914628
PMCPMC10011414

What OpenQuestion holds

Textfull text, public
LicenceCC BY
reference markers read1
measurements read109
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.