Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36913582›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Superhuman artificial intelligence can improve human decision-making by increasing novelty.

Minkyu Shin, Jin Kim, Bas van Opheusden, Thomas L Griffiths

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Computers and chess masters: The role of AI in transforming elite human performance.British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953) · 2026
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Extending Minds with Generative AI.Nature communications · 2025
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. A new sociology of humans and machines.Nature human behaviour · 2024
    Review
  16. Article
  17. Machine culture.Nature human behaviour · 2023
    Review
  18. Superhuman artificial intelligence can improve human decision-making by increasing novelty.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Minkyu ShinDepartment of Marketing, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong SAR 999077, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6260-4799
Jin KimDepartment of Marketing, Yale School of Management, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06511.ORCID 0000-0002-5013-3958
Bas van OpheusdenDepartment of Psychology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540.
Thomas L GriffithsDepartment of Psychology, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08540.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

How will superhuman artificial intelligence (AI) affect human decision-making? And what will be the mechanisms behind this effect? We address these questions in a domain where AI already exceeds human performance, analyzing more than 5.8 million move decisions made by professional Go players over the past 71 y (1950 to 2021). To address the first question, we use a superhuman AI program to estimate the quality of human decisions across time, generating 58 billion counterfactual game patterns and comparing the win rates of actual human decisions with those of counterfactual AI decisions. We find that humans began to make significantly better decisions following the advent of superhuman AI. We then examine human players' strategies across time and find that novel decisions (i.e., previously unobserved moves) occurred more frequently and became associated with higher decision quality after the advent of superhuman AI. Our findings suggest that the development of superhuman AI programs may have prompted human players to break away from traditional strategies and induced them to explore novel moves, which in turn may have improved their decision-making.

Indexed as

Artificial IntelligenceDecision MakingHumansartificial intelligencecognitive performanceinnovationjudgment and decision-makingnovelty

Identifiers

PMID36913582
PMCPMC10041097

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.