Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36890484›Full record

ArticleBMC geriatrics2023

Impact of frailty on the performance of the National Early Warning Score 2 to predict poor outcome in patients hospitalised due to COVID-19.

Peter Selmer Rønningen, Marte Meyer Walle-Hansen, Håkon Ihle-Hansen, Elizabeth Lyster Andersen, Arnljot Tveit, Marius Myrstad

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC geriatrics, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Observational
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Peter Selmer RønningenDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Post Box 800, 3004, Drammen, Norway. peselm@vestreviken.no.ORCID 0000-0002-7701-9303
Marte Meyer Walle-HansenDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Post Box 800, 3004, Drammen, Norway.
Håkon Ihle-HansenDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Post Box 800, 3004, Drammen, Norway.
Elizabeth Lyster AndersenDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Post Box 800, 3004, Drammen, Norway.
Arnljot TveitDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Post Box 800, 3004, Drammen, Norway.
Marius MyrstadDepartment of Medical Research, Bærum Hospital, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Post Box 800, 3004, Drammen, Norway.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) is a scoring tool predictive of poor outcome in hospitalised patients. Older patients with COVID-19 have increased risk of poor outcome, but it is not known if frailty may impact the predictive performance of NEWS2. We aimed to investigate the impact of frailty on the performance of NEWS2 to predict in-hospital mortality in patients hospitalised due to COVID-19.

methodsWe included all patients admitted to a non-university Norwegian hospital due to COVID-19 from 9 March 2020 until 31 December 2021. NEWS2 was scored based on the first vital signs recorded upon hospital admission. Frailty was defined as a Clinical Frailty Scale score ≥ 4. The performance of a NEWS2 score ≥ 5 to predict in-hospital mortality was assessed with sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) according to frailty status.

resultsOut of 412 patients, 70 were aged ≥ 65 years and with frailty. They presented less frequently with respiratory symptoms, and more often with acute functional decline or new-onset confusion. In-hospital mortality was 6% in patients without frailty, and 26% in patients with frailty. NEWS2 predicted in-hospital mortality with a sensitivity of 86%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 64%-97% and AUROC 0.73, 95% CI 0.65-0.81 in patients without frailty. In older patients with frailty, sensitivity was 61%, 95% CI 36%-83% and AUROC 0.61, 95% CI 0.48-0.75.

conclusionA single NEWS2 score at hospital admission performed poorly to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with frailty and COVID-19 and should be used with caution in this patient group. Graphical abstract summing up study design, results and conclusion.

Indexed as

COVID-19Early Warning ScoreFrailtyAgedHospitalizationHospital MortalityHumansRetrospective StudiesROC CurveCOVID-19FrailtyNEWS-2Prognosis

Identifiers

PMID36890484
PMCPMC9994778

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.