Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36878268›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental research2023

The COVID-19-wildfire smoke paradox: Reduced risk of all-cause mortality due to wildfire smoke in Colorado during the first year of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Sheena E Martenies, Ander Wilson, Lauren Hoskovec, Kirk A Bol, Tori L Burket, Laura Jean Podewils, Sheryl Magzamen

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Sheena E MarteniesDepartment of Kinesiology and Community Health, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA. Electronic address: smarte4@illinois.edu.
Ander WilsonDepartment of Statistics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
Lauren HoskovecDepartment of Statistics, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA.
Kirk A BolCenter for Health and Environmental Data, Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment, Denver, CO, USA.
Tori L BurketDepartment of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA; Denver Department of Public Health and Environment, Denver, CO, USA.
Laura Jean PodewilsCenter for Health Systems Research, Denver Health Office of Research, Denver, CO, USA.
Sheryl MagzamenDepartment of Environmental and Radiological Health Sciences, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA; Department of Epidemiology, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO, USA.
Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment · USColorado State University · USColorado School of Public Health · USDenver Health Medical Center · USUniversity of Illinois Urbana-Champaign · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn 2020, the American West faced two competing challenges: the COVID-19 pandemic and the worst wildfire season on record. Several studies have investigated the impact of wildfire smoke (WFS) on COVID-19 morbidity and mortality, but little is known about how these two public health challenges impact mortality risk for other causes.

objectivesUsing a time-series design, we evaluated how daily risk of mortality due to WFS exposure differed for periods before and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

methodsOur study included daily data for 11 counties in the Front Range region of Colorado (2010-2020). We assessed WFS exposure using data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and used mortality counts from the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment. We estimated the interaction between WFS and the pandemic (an indicator variable) on mortality risk using generalized additive models adjusted for year, day of week, fine particulate matter, ozone, temperature, and a smoothed term for day of year.

resultsWFS impacted the study area on 10% of county-days. We observed a positive association between the presence of WFS and all-cause mortality risk (incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 1.03, 95%CI: 1.01-1.04 for same-day exposures) during the period before the pandemic; however, WFS exposure during the pandemic resulted in decreased risk of all-cause mortality (IRR = 0.90, 95%CI: 0.87-0.93 for same-day exposures). DISCUSSION: We hypothesize that mitigation efforts during the first year of the pandemic, e.g., mask mandates, along with high ambient WFS levels encouraged health behaviors that reduced exposure to WFS and reduced risk of all-cause mortality. Our results suggest a need to examine how associations between WFS and mortality are impacted by pandemic-related factors and that there may be lessons from the pandemic that could be translated into health-protective policies during future wildfire events.

Indexed as

Air PollutantsCOVID-19WildfiresColoradoEnvironmental ExposureHumansNicotianaPandemicsParticulate MatterSmokeAir PollutantsParticulate MatterSmokeCOVID-19MortalityWildfire smoke

Identifiers

PMID36878268
PMCPMC9985917
OpenAlexW4323256975

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.