Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36877669›Full record

ArticleChemical research in toxicology2023

Transparency in Modeling through Careful Application of OECD's QSAR/QSPR Principles via a Curated Water Solubility Data Set.

Charles N Lowe, Nathaniel Charest, Christian Ramsland, Daniel T Chang, Todd M Martin, Antony J Williams

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chemical research in toxicology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
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  4. Article
  5. CombinedJournal of chemical information and modeling · 2025
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  7. Article
  8. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Charles N LoweCenter for Computational Toxicology and Exposure, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-9151-6157
Nathaniel CharestORAU Student Services Contractor to Center for Computational Toxicology and Exposure, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, United States.
Christian RamslandORAU Student Services Contractor to Center for Computational Toxicology and Exposure, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, United States.
Daniel T ChangCenter for Computational Toxicology and Exposure, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, United States.
Todd M MartinCenter for Computational Toxicology and Exposure, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-5844-8754
Antony J WilliamsCenter for Computational Toxicology and Exposure, Office of Research and Development, United States Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, North Carolina 27711, United States.ORCID 0000-0002-2668-4821

Funding

Intramural EPA EPA999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The need for careful assembly, training, and validation of quantitative structure-activity/property models (QSAR/QSPR) is more significant than ever as data sets become larger and sophisticated machine learning tools become increasingly ubiquitous and accessible to the scientific community. Regulatory agencies such as the United States Environmental Protection Agency must carefully scrutinize each aspect of a resulting QSAR/QSPR model to determine its potential use in environmental exposure and hazard assessment. Herein, we revisit the goals of the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) in our application and discuss the validation principles for structure-activity models. We apply these principles to a model for predicting water solubility of organic compounds derived using random forest regression, a common machine learning approach in the QSA/PR literature. Using public sources, we carefully assembled and curated a data set consisting of 10,200 unique chemical structures with associated water solubility measurements. This data set was then used as a focal narrative to methodically consider the OECD's QSA/PR principles and how they can be applied to random forests. Despite some expert, mechanistically informed supervision of descriptor selection to enhance model interpretability, we achieved a model of water solubility with comparable performance to previously published models (5-fold cross validated performance 0.81

Indexed as

Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and DevelopmentQuantitative Structure-Activity RelationshipAlgorithmsSolubilityWaterWater

Identifiers

PMID36877669
PMCPMC10357388

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.