Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36875289›Full record

ArticleNEJM evidence2022

AI Estimation of Gestational Age from Blind Ultrasound Sweeps in Low-Resource Settings.

Teeranan Pokaprakarn, Juan C Prieto, Joan T Price, Margaret P Kasaro, Ntazana Sindano, Hina R Shah, Marc Peterson, Mutinta M Akapelwa, Filson M Kapilya, Yuri V Sebastião and 10 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in NEJM evidence, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 61 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Real-time gestational-age estimation at 11-13 weeks using artificial intelligence on non-targeted ultrasound sweeps.Ultrasound in obstetrics & gynecology : the official journal of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology · 2026
    Observational
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. The FemTech revolution: Unlocking the potential of new technology for optimizing pregnancy outcomes in low- and middle-income countries and remote areas.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Emerging applications of artificial intelligence for obstetric ultrasound: A scoping review.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2026
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Teeranan PokaprakarnDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, NC.
Juan C PrietoDepartment of Psychiatry, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC.
Joan T PriceUNC Global Projects-Zambia, LLC, Lusaka, Zambia.
Margaret P KasaroUNC Global Projects-Zambia, LLC, Lusaka, Zambia.
Ntazana SindanoUNC Global Projects-Zambia, LLC, Lusaka, Zambia.
Hina R ShahDepartment of Psychiatry, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC.
Marc PetersonDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC.
Mutinta M AkapelwaUNC Global Projects-Zambia, LLC, Lusaka, Zambia.
Filson M KapilyaUNC Global Projects-Zambia, LLC, Lusaka, Zambia.
Yuri V SebastiãoDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC.
William GoodnightDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC.
Elizabeth M StringerDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC.
Bethany L FreemanDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC.
Lina M MontoyaDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, NC.
Benjamin H ChiUNC Global Projects-Zambia, LLC, Lusaka, Zambia.
Dwight J RouseDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Warren Alpert Medical School, Brown University, Providence, RI.
Stephen R ColeDepartment of Epidemiology, University of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, NC.
Bellington VwalikaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of North Carolina School of Medicine, Chapel Hill, NC.
Michael R KosorokDepartment of Biostatistics, University of North Carolina Gillings School of Global Public Health, Chapel Hill, NC.
Jeffrey S A StringerUNC Global Projects-Zambia, LLC, Lusaka, Zambia.
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USNational HIV/AIDS/STI/TB Council · ZMBrown University · USUniversity of Zambia · ZM

Funding

Virology, Immunology, and Microbiology CoreP30AI050410 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI DAVID M. MARGOLIS · 2001 to 2026
$76.9M
Re-Entry Supplement: Investigation of Oral Microbial Enzymes for the Detection and Treatment of Periodontal DiseaseUL1TR002489 · NCATS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI BUSE, JOHN BERNARD, SHAHEEN, NICHOLAS J · 2018 to 2022
$48.6M
Improved analysis of experiments and observational studies in HIVR01AI157758 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Stephen R Cole, Jessie Edwards · 2020 to 2026
$5.0M
UNC Global Women’s Health FellowshipT32HD075731 · NICHD · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI CHI, BENJAMIN H. · 2013 to 2024
$2.4M
Mentoring new investigators in PMTCT implementation researchK24AI120796 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Benjamin H. Chi · 2016 to 2026
$1.3M
A Career Development Award in HIV-Associated Preterm Birth and its PreventionK01TW010857 · FIC · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI PRICE, JOAN · 2017 to 2021
$682k
FIC NIH HHS K01 TW010857NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002489NIAID NIH HHS K24 AI120796NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050410NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI157758NICHD NIH HHS T32 HD075731
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUltrasound is indispensable to gestational age estimation and thus to quality obstetrical care, yet high equipment cost and the need for trained sonographers limit its use in low-resource settings.

methodsFrom September 2018 through June 2021, we recruited 4695 pregnant volunteers in North Carolina and Zambia and obtained blind ultrasound sweeps (cineloop videos) of the gravid abdomen alongside standard fetal biometry. We trained a neural network to estimate gestational age from the sweeps and, in three test data sets, assessed the performance of the artificial intelligence (AI) model and biometry against previously established gestational age.

resultsIn our main test set, the mean absolute error (MAE) (±SE) was 3.9±0.12 days for the model versus 4.7±0.15 days for biometry (difference, -0.8 days; 95% confidence interval [CI], -1.1 to -0.5; P<0.001). The results were similar in North Carolina (difference, -0.6 days; 95% CI, -0.9 to -0.2) and Zambia (-1.0 days; 95% CI, -1.5 to -0.5). Findings were supported in the test set of women who conceived by in vitro fertilization (MAE of 2.8±0.28 vs. 3.6±0.53 days for the model vs. biometry; difference, -0.8 days; 95% CI, -1.7 to 0.2) and in the set of women from whom sweeps were collected by untrained users with low-cost, battery-powered devices (MAE of 4.9±0.29 vs. 5.4±0.28 days for the model vs. biometry; difference, -0.6; 95% CI, -1.3 to 0.1).

conclusionsWhen provided blindly obtained ultrasound sweeps of the gravid abdomen, our AI model estimated gestational age with accuracy similar to that of trained sonographers conducting standard fetal biometry. Model performance appears to extend to blind sweeps collected by untrained providers in Zambia using low-cost devices. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.).

Identifiers

PMID36875289
PMCPMC9980216
OpenAlexW4220897813

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.