Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36854875›Full record

ArticleEuropean radiology2023

Pulmonary emphysema and coronary artery calcifications at baseline LDCT and long-term mortality in smokers and former smokers of the ITALUNG screening trial.

Mario Mascalchi, Chiara Romei, Chiara Marzi, Stefano Diciotti, Giulia Picozzi, Francesco Pistelli, Marco Zappa, Eugenio Paci, Francesca Carozzi, Giuseppe Gorini and 5 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European radiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 22 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. How will lung cancer screening and lung nodule management change the diagnostic and surgical lung cancer landscape?European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 7 institutions in 3 countries.

Mario MascalchiDepartment of Clinical and Experimental, Biomedical Sciences "Mario Serio, " University of Florence, Viale Pieraccini, 50134, Florence, Italy. mario.mascalchi@unifi.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5537-2982
Chiara RomeiDivision of Radiology, Cisanello Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Chiara Marzi"Nello Carrara" Institute of Applied Physics, National Research Council of Italy, Sesto Fiorentino, Florence, Italy.
Stefano DiciottiDepartment of Electrical, Electronic, and Information Engineering 'Guglielmo Marconi', University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy.
Giulia PicozziDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Governance, Institute for Study, PRevention and netwoRk in Oncology (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.
Francesco PistelliPulmonary Unit, Cardiothoracic and Vascular Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Marco ZappaDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Governance, Institute for Study, PRevention and netwoRk in Oncology (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.
Eugenio PaciDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Governance, Institute for Study, PRevention and netwoRk in Oncology (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.
Francesca CarozziRegional Laboratory of Cancer Prevention, Institute for Cancer Research, Prevention and Clinical Network (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.
Giuseppe GoriniDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Governance, Institute for Study, PRevention and netwoRk in Oncology (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.
Fabio FalaschiDivision of Radiology, Cisanello Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Anna Lisa DeliperiDivision of Radiology, Cisanello Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Gianna CamiciottoliDepartment of Clinical and Experimental, Biomedical Sciences "Mario Serio, " University of Florence, Viale Pieraccini, 50134, Florence, Italy.
Laura CarrozziPulmonary Unit, Cardiothoracic and Vascular Department, Pisa University Hospital, Pisa, Italy.
Donella PulitiDivision of Epidemiology and Clinical Governance, Institute for Study, PRevention and netwoRk in Oncology (ISPRO), Florence, Italy.
Piedmont Reference Center for Epidemiology and Cancer Prevention · ITOspedale Cisanello · ITAzienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Pisana · ITGerman Cancer Research Center · DEMarconi University · ITNello Carrara Institute of Applied Physics · ITUniversity of Florence · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesCardiovascular disease (CVD), lung cancer (LC), and respiratory diseases are main causes of death in smokers and former smokers undergoing low-dose computed tomography (LDCT) for LC screening. We assessed whether quantification of pulmonary emphysematous changes at baseline LDCT has a predictive value concerning long-term mortality.

methodsIn this longitudinal study, we assessed pulmonary emphysematous changes with densitometry (volume corrected relative area below - 950 Hounsfield units) and coronary artery calcifications (CAC) with a 0-3 visual scale in baseline LDCT of 524 participants in the ITALUNG trial and analyzed their association with mortality after 13.6 years of follow-up using conventional statistics and a machine learning approach.

resultsPulmonary emphysematous changes were present in 32.3% of subjects and were mild (6% ≤ RA950 ≤ 9%) in 14.9% and moderate-severe (RA950 > 9%) in 17.4%. CAC were present in 67% of subjects (mild in 34.7%, moderate-severe in 32.2%). In the follow-up, 81 (15.4%) subjects died (20 of LC, 28 of other cancers, 15 of CVD, 4 of respiratory disease, and 14 of other conditions). After adjusting for age, sex, smoking history, and CAC, moderate-severe emphysema was significantly associated with overall (OR 2.22; 95CI 1.34-3.70) and CVD (OR 3.66; 95CI 1.21-11.04) mortality. Machine learning showed that RA950 was the best single feature predictive of overall and CVD mortality.

conclusionsModerate-severe pulmonary emphysematous changes are an independent predictor of long-term overall and CVD mortality in subjects participating in LC screening and should be incorporated in the post-test calculation of the individual mortality risk profile. KEY POINTS: • Densitometry allows quantification of pulmonary emphysematous changes in low-dose CT examinations for lung cancer screening. • Emphysematous lung density changes are an independent predictor of long-term overall and cardio-vascular disease mortality in smokers and former smokers undergoing screening. • Emphysematous changes quantification should be included in the post-test calculation of the individual mortality risk profile.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCoronary Artery DiseaseEmphysemaLung NeoplasmsPulmonary EmphysemaEarly Detection of CancerHumansLongitudinal StudiesSmokersTomography, X-Ray ComputedCardiovascular diseaseCause of deathLung neoplasmPulmonary emphysemaSmokers

Identifiers

PMID36854875
PMCPMC10121526
OpenAlexW4322621281

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.