Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36854015›Full record

ArticlePloS one2023

Risk stratification for hepatocellular cancer among patients with cirrhosis using a hepatic fat polygenic risk score.

Aaron P Thrift, Fasiha Kanwal, Yanhong Liu, Saira Khaderi, Amit G Singal, Jorge A Marrero, Nicole Loo, Sumeet K Asrani, Michelle Luster, Abeer Al-Sarraj and 5 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Genetics of Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Steatotic Liver Disease: The State of the Art Update.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2024
    Review
  12. PNPLA3, Obesity, and Heavy Alcohol Use in Cirrhosis Patients May Exert a Synergistic Increase Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2024
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Association ofWorld journal of gastrointestinal oncology · 2023
    Article
  15. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Aaron P ThriftSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0002-0084-5308
Fasiha KanwalSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Yanhong LiuSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Saira KhaderiSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Amit G SingalDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, United States of America.
Jorge A MarreroDivision of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, United States of America.
Nicole LooTexas Liver Institute, San Antonio, Texas, United States of America.
Sumeet K AsraniBaylor University Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, United States of America.
Michelle LusterSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Abeer Al-SarrajSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Jing NingDepartment of Biostatistics, UT MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas, United States of America.
Spiridon TsavachidisSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Xiangjun GuSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Christopher I AmosSection of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Hashem B El-SeragSection of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States of America.
Baylor College of Medicine · USMichael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center · USSouthwestern Medical Center · USBaylor University Medical Center · USTexas Liver Institute · USThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · US

Funding

Tumor BiologyP30CA125123 · NCI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI DAVID R ROWLEY · 2007 to 2026
$73.9M
Tissue Analysis & Molecular Imaging CoreP30DK056338 · NIDDK · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Geoffrey A Preidis · 2001 to 2026
$28.3M
XENOGRAFT STUDIESP01CA023099 · NCI · ST. JUDE CHILDREN'S RESEARCH HOSPITAL · PI HOUGHTON, PETER J · 1985 to 2011
$22.4M
Translational Research Support CoreP30ES030285 · NIEHS · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Cheryl L. Walker · 2019 to 2026
$14.7M
Prevention of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Related to Metabolic SyndromeP01CA263025 · NCI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Hashem B El-Serag · 2022 to 2026
$8.9M
Risk Stratification for and Early Detection of Liver CancerU01CA230997 · NCI · BAYLOR COLLEGE OF MEDICINE · PI Jagpreet Chhatwal, Hashem B El-Serag · 2018 to 2026
$6.4M
Consortium on Translational Research in Early Detection of Liver Cancer:Data Management and Coordinating Center (DMCC)U24CA230144 · NCI · FRED HUTCHINSON CANCER RESEARCH CENTER · PI Ziding Feng · 2018 to 2026
$5.8M
Genome-Wide Association Study (GWAS) in Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC)R01CA186566 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI AMOS, CHRISTOPHER I., HASSAN, MANAL METWALLY · 2015 to 2019
$3.6M
Precision Risk Stratification and Screening for HCC among Patients with Cirrhosis in the United StatesU01CA230694 · NCI · UT SOUTHWESTERN MEDICAL CENTER · PI SINGAL, AMIT · 2018 to 2022
$3.5M
NCI NIH HHS P01 CA023099NCI NIH HHS P01 CA263025NCI NIH HHS P30 CA125123NCI NIH HHS R01 CA186566NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230694NCI NIH HHS U01 CA230997NCI NIH HHS U24 CA230144NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK056338
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPolygenic risk scores (PRS) hold the promise to refine prognostication in hepatocellular cancer (HCC). The few available HCC PRS include germline risk variants identified among individuals of mostly European ancestry, but data are lacking on the transportability of these PRS in multiethnic U.S patients with cirrhosis from multiple etiologies.

methodsWe used data from 1644 patients with cirrhosis enrolled in two prospective cohort studies in the U.S. Patients were followed until HCC diagnosis, death, liver transplantation, or last study visit through June 30, 2021. The high-risk variants in PNPLA3-MBOAT7-TM6SF2-GCKR were combined in a PRS and we evaluated its association with HCC. Discriminatory accuracy was assessed using the C-statistic.

resultsDuring 4,759 person-years of follow-up, 93 patients developed HCC. Mean age was 59.8 years, 68.6% were male, 27.2% Hispanic, 25.1% non-Hispanic Black, 25.7% had NAFLD, 42.1% had heavy alcohol use, and 19.5% had active HCV. HCC risk increased by 134% per unit increase in PRS (HR = 2.30; 95% CI, 1.35-3.92). Compared to cirrhosis patients in the lowest tertile of the PRS, those in the highest tertile had 2-fold higher risk of HCC (HR = 2.05; 95% CI, 1.22-3.44). The PRS alone had modest discriminatory ability (C-statistic = 0.58; 95% CI, 0.52-0.63); however, adding PRS to a predictive model with traditional HCC risk factors had a C-statistic of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.64-0.76), increasing from 0.68 without the PRS (p = 0.0012).

conclusionsOur findings suggest that PRS may enhance risk prediction for HCC in contemporary U.S. cirrhosis patients.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularLiver NeoplasmsFemaleHumansLiver CirrhosisMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID36854015
PMCPMC9974109
OpenAlexW4322624400

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.