Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36848228›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2023

Impact of Human Mobility on COVID-19 Transmission According to Mobility Distance, Location, and Demographic Factors in the Greater Bay Area of China: Population-Based Study.

Jizhe Xia, Kun Yin, Yang Yue, Qingquan Li, Xiling Wang, Dongsheng Hu, Xiong Wang, Zhanwei Du, Ben J Cowling, Erzhen Chen and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Jizhe XiaDepartment of Urban Informatics, Guangdong Key Laboratory for Urban Informatics, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6436-7456
Kun YinSchool of Global Health, Chinese Center for Tropical Diseases Research, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6300-6985
Yang YueDepartment of Urban Informatics, Guangdong Key Laboratory for Urban Informatics, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6934-2357
Qingquan LiDepartment of Urban Informatics, Guangdong Key Laboratory for Urban Informatics, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0002-2438-6046
Xiling WangSchool of Public Health and Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0002-7164-6189
Dongsheng HuSchool of Public health, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0002-3247-5786
Xiong WangInstitute for Advanced Study, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8683-4043
Zhanwei DuWorld Health Organisation Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong).ORCID 0000-0002-2020-767X
Ben J CowlingWorld Health Organisation Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Hong Kong, China (Hong Kong).ORCID 0000-0002-6297-7154
Erzhen ChenRuijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7835-6080
Ying ZhouRuijin Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6859-8702

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMobility restriction was one of the primary measures used to restrain the spread of COVID-19 globally. Governments implemented and relaxed various mobility restriction measures in the absence of evidence for almost 3 years, which caused severe adverse outcomes in terms of health, society, and economy.

objectiveThis study aimed to quantify the impact of mobility reduction on COVID-19 transmission according to mobility distance, location, and demographic factors in order to identify hotspots of transmission and guide public health policies.

methodsLarge volumes of anonymized aggregated mobile phone position data between January 1 and February 24, 2020, were collected for 9 megacities in the Greater Bay Area, China. A generalized linear model (GLM) was established to test the association between mobility volume (number of trips) and COVID-19 transmission. Subgroup analysis was also performed for sex, age, travel location, and travel distance. Statistical interaction terms were included in a variety of models that express different relations between involved variables.

resultsThe GLM analysis demonstrated a significant association between the COVID-19 growth rate ratio (GR) and mobility volume. A stratification analysis revealed a higher effect of mobility volume on the COVID-19 GR among people aged 50-59 years (GR decrease of 13.17% per 10% reduction in mobility volume; P<.001) than among other age groups (GR decreases of 7.80%, 10.43%, 7.48%, 8.01%, and 10.43% for those aged ≤18, 19-29, 30-39, 40-49, and ≥60 years, respectively; P=.02 for the interaction). The impact of mobility reduction on COVID-19 transmission was higher for transit stations and shopping areas (instantaneous reproduction number [R

conclusionsThe association between mobility reduction and COVID-19 transmission significantly varied according to mobility distance, location, and age. The substantially higher impact of mobility volume on COVID-19 transmission for longer travel distance, certain age groups, and specific travel locations highlights the potential to optimize the effectiveness of mobility restriction strategies. The results from our study demonstrate the power of having a mobility network using mobile phone data for surveillance that can monitor movement at a detailed level to measure the potential impacts of future pandemics.

Indexed as

COVID-19ChinaDemographyHumansPandemicsTravelCOVID-19demographic factorslocationsmobility distancemobility restriction

Identifiers

PMID36848228
PMCPMC10138924

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.