Evidence map›Paper›PMID 36845677›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2023

Construction and validation of a novel nomogram to predict cancer-specific survival in patients with gastric adenocarcinoma.

Guole Nie, Honglong Zhang, Jun Yan, Danna Xie, Haijun Zhang, Xun Li

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Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

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4citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

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4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Guole NieThe First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Honglong ZhangThe First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Jun YanThe First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Danna XieThe First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Haijun ZhangThe First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.
Xun LiThe First School of Clinical Medicine, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background and aims: Adenocarcinoma is one of the most common pathological types of gastric cancer. The aims of this study were to develop and validate prognostic nomograms that could predict the probability of cancer-specific survival (CSS) for gastric adenocarcinoma (GAC) patients at 1, 3, and 5 years. Methods: In total, 7747 patients with GAC diagnosed between 2010 and 2015, and 4591 patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2009 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database were included in this study. The 7747 patients were used as a prognostic cohort to explore GAC-related prognostic risk factors. Moreover, the 4591 patients were used for external validation. The prognostic cohort was also divided into a training and internal validation sets for construction and internal validation of the nomogram. CSS predictors were screened using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression analysis. A prognostic model was built using Cox hazard regression analysis and provided as static and dynamic network-based nomograms. Results: The primary site, tumor grade, surgery of the primary site, T stage, N stage, and M stage were determined to be independent prognostic factors for CSS and were subsequently included in construction of the nomogram. CSS was accurately estimated using the nomogram at 1, 3, and 5 years. The areas under the curve (AUCs) for the training group at 1, 3, and 5 years were 0.816, 0.853, and 0.863, respectively. Following internal validation, these values were 0.817, 0.851, and 0.861. Further, the AUC of the nomogram was much greater than that of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) or SEER staging. Moreover, the anticipated and actual CSS values were in good agreement based on decision curves and time-calibrated plots. Then, patients from the two subgroups were divided into high- and low-risk groups based on this nomogram. The survival rate of high-risk patients was considerably lower than that of low-risk patients, according to Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves ( Conclusions: A reliable and convenient nomogram in the form of a static nomogram or an online calculator was constructed and validated to assist physicians in quantifying the probability of CSS in GAC patients.

Indexed as

American joint committee on cancer staging (AJCC)cancer-specific survival (CSS)end results database (SEER database)epidemiologygastric adenocarcinoma (GAC)prognostic nomogramrisk factorssurveillance

Identifiers

PMID36845677
PMCPMC9948249

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